Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Speculating Toward a Brighter Future...Silly Bottom...Dips are for Skids...

eventually the Skid will stick and the market can once again thrive on upticks

BAC:
Bank of America’s CEO said today he does not see a reason to cut the dividend or any reason to believe BAC would need to raise more capital ... This is tremendous if true – BAC currently has a yield of ~11% and upside of 100% growth once nurtured back to full health ... For a bank like BAC – its so seems time to buy - but beware - very scary territory and waiting for bottom conformations, missing the first 10-15% of the recovery, and getting in late may be the prudent way to play this

GE:
GE is working on waste to gasification technologies for the us
Japan already has 7 successful installations of another similar sort
These produce power by gasifying our garbage then gas to electricity

Basket Group: - common risks
MRK BMY BMR - people might stop getting ill
AGU MON POT MOS - people might stop eating
AVAV FCEL AMSC ESLR - people might stop innovating and defending their energy infrastructures
T WIN - people might stop communicating
AAPL GOOG NTDOY - people might stop thinking
CNX SSL EMN - people might stop making steel, using electricity, plastics, fuels, gases...etc
ENER SQM BOOM - people might not need to process and convert fuels
PBR COP RDSA XOM - people will stop needing oil, energy, or any kind of fuel
FRO ETP SE TRP- people will not need to transport fuels like oil and gas
IPI V AWK ERII - crazy ipo's - anything could happen
MA BAC GS - credit crisis could droll on forever or even spread to other credit markets
RIO FCX RTP IVN - demand destruction could drive most commodity prices way down
SGR FWLT MDR - infrastructure projects could slow in the face of slowing growth
GE HON SI UTX - large conglomerates could throw in the towel and great executives could abandon us for better lifestyles somewhere else

BCKBF PFCE IVAN HYGS - stay very away from here

Dispersification may ensue...!

Integrated Oils...
Be aware that we might experience a dip in integrated oil when oil prices fall

Which is asinine if you ask me …

The oil stocks first go up as oil prices rise – then fall sharply reporting that oil prices are too high for ultra-profitable operations – then when prices return to normal (where they were in the rally...really ) they fall because .. aawwee .. the price of oil is going down … awe

which is inevitable