Saturday, May 31, 2008

BOOM Could Blast Off Again...JimAbraKaBoomYa

BOOM:

BOOM* ~|114.1 ~ 101.19 ~ 75.51|
* I consider these scores skewed high due to Explosive Growth in this Booming Industry --> Note However...BOOM's business faces tough challenges in terms of rising inflationary costs in fuel and precursor materials like steel and fertilizer

- Have a Blast Trading :)

if enough demand is driven from the new refinery trends BOOM could ultimately stabilize over 75.51 and eventually split ... it may be trading diminished yet inside out and remains positioned in front of possible enormous expansion plans of some major customers ... it also seems chaotically cyclical as well..driven in channels and to gaps by various forces within customer and supplier sectors

keep in mind the tremendous insulation against competition with their high cost-entry-margins and given their already successful library of proprietary explosive recipes...

thirdly - this BOOMER likes to swing and surge and has ... Not one but Two gaps to fill above the current price level - and these gaps should be filled ... eventually...since ultimately their industry is - well - Booming...

Friday, May 30, 2008

Pop-Opps into Pop-Offs...

AMSC:


AMSC* ~|45.28 ~ 61.46|

* I consider this price range unreasonably high for this stock in terms of current value metrics - however, the kinetics to pop have proven possible yet the market conditions to drive order-growth and price-momentum would have to be consistently sustainable in order to facilitate an unfaltering move through the range (~45.28 ~ 61.46) ...There will most likely be major re-tracements well before the range attractors are reached since new super high-tech implementations of niche equipment like AMSC's usually takes longer to actually amass effects on profitability than eager investors set average expectations for...

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Pop Goes The..

Fuel Cell ...

this looks like populous popularium poising for popularity popoff

FCEL:

Coal Gasificatin...

+ Fuel Cells...
CNX
SSL
EMN
FCEL

it might become ..the kind'of a thing...reliability comes to depend on...

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Algae Tubes...

algae solutions need to flow around in the sun to grow while maximizing surface area exposed to the sun and minimizing evaporation - "englassed" algae farms could be made by Corning or some other company which could facilitate such an environment.

there could be requirements for miles and miles of algae tubing trays cells lattices filters pumps hoses trucks etc...

ideas

GLW

US Oil...

Apparently we are saving our fossil fuels for the dark period of the universe...

in the meantime this ridiculous oil speculation is probably nothing more than big-time billionaires planning their next fly-by-night airline companies to come-n-go 5 years from now by undercutting competitor's fares in 2013 for 2-4 years utilizing CHEAP oil futures bought yesterday -- or something like that...

Monday, May 26, 2008

For What It's Worth...

Disney & Viacom should buy Yahoo to create a smear of programs & channels branded with the YeeHa'est Yahoo creativity imagineering can imaginate...

Friday, May 23, 2008

Full Reversification ....Up Scope...Fire...

Complete Portfolio is reversified to:
AAPL - fastest growing brands here so tech sector is irrelevant
NTDOY - not commodities but rather innovations of design to solve real world problems like communication digital-organization/productivity research&development entertainment-delivery education mental-conditioning fitness etc
PBR - fastest growing company in the world
COP - some of the smartest companies in the world
RDSA - also happen to have a good share of the capital and know what to do with it
FRO - someone has to do the dirty work
RIO - Steel starts here
BOOM - Steel ends here
BCKBF - a lot of really big or long spread out stuff with heavy #$!t running all over the place
FCEL - specialized energy markets of the future where big money is to be saved and made
AMSC - innovative company who's time appears to be now
AVAV - a powerful alignment of the human condition to the epicenter of Eagle century attractors (one such attractor is survival behavior via accurate reliable precise and timely telescopic sight of what's happened happening going to happen or not)

wants likes to get:
SFL - rising yield and rising stock price is a good combination
SGR - building pipelines and things --> very good for proliferation of planet earth
SHI - oil prices must come down eventually or China's pump prices will have to rise, either way SHI end's up a winner
PKX - a veritable steal on steel at these levels
GOOG - the total number revenue-clicks/click-equivalents could continue to increase

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

The Next Way to Go...

RIO...

the new-building of many new ships, trains, roads, buildings, bridges and things will surely strain the capacity of this world's mines to drain Ore veins sunshine or rain...

be ready for pain or be ready for gain...

...RIO

SoWonder Why Oil goes Up...

maybe the big integrated oil companies who can make money from high oil while losing money on refining operations want to drive oil prices up as high as they can so they can buy small pure play refiners cheaply to expand future refining capacity...

watch for refinery buyouts...PBR has already begun purchasing some...

the pure plays are surely not able to sustain this bakwardation in the industry for long...

Oh Yeah - 1.05x the maximum technical range of Light Sweet Cruide is:

LSCrude ~|~130.2| .... just like it could be swatted short - I suppose it can also be easily swatted up to high - but eventually -- the volume gaps below this level will have to be filled before consistent moves higher are permanently sustainable --> which they eventually will be ... it has to work its way up and around sometimes back down...

130.2/1.05= 124 - a major attractor for this Light Sweet Stuff...

since it's at this tip top of a huge run --> I am calling it the sanity barrier...anything higher is insane and should fall short of long term support...if a large thick volume base is laid out below, then maybe theses higher levels will become sustainable...in the meantime what jettisons up to velocity zero must land somewhere that can hold it up right away or it falls back down until it finds a spot that can prop it up...

Trends on the Horizon...

some flavorettes:
COP PBR--(most likely leaper 2008)
AAPL GOOG NTDOY
FRO TNP

some other interesting/good ones to have & to hold:
CPL ATPWF EXC
APC XTO DVN
RDSA XOM CVX/TOT
ABB AMSC FCEL
SGR MDR CFX/PH

One could expect Huge Demand for Ore, Steel, & specialty metal products...
RIO --> tranes thangs and OttaMoeBeals...
PKX --> mmmm steel ... ironically - stay light here...
BOOM - many new refineries are already being planned - BOOM could have a blast...
{this should be considered a long term basket and will surely experience extreme volatility - if you get in on the dips and hold ... up times will arise..if only momentarily...they will arise...eventually..yet most likely sooner than later and not unlikely early or late}

golden oldies which deserve a look back...
FRO --> ... historically it's always a good day to get more FRO...spread out the buys

start looking for dips here if feeling aggressive or disconnected from the pump...
SFL --> FROffspring
TNP --> there is a trend toward remote refining and TNP may have a lot of clean product capacity
NAT --> Lowest operating cost in the Suezmax class transport vessels via outsourcing services to Frontline Tanker, regular surprising dividends, periodic stock channeling ... all the Hallmarks of a great supertanker company
VLCCF --> another worth mentioning although it's my least favorite of the fab five...

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Mixed Bag...

GOOG:

FCEL:

AVAV - Fly Like an Eagle...




for you to sea...

Fly Like an Eagle ... Soldier Spirits Carry Free...

Time Keeps on Slippin Slippin Slippin...

Into the Future...

and AVAV will SEE us through the revolution....

Saturday, May 17, 2008

PBR - is not Peanut Butter...



or Pabst Blue Ribbon...

so who would've thought you'd be glad to have some...

PBR ~|{~76.4400} ~ 88.6050 ~ 92.4950|

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Some gestures in the Market...

AMSC seemed to meander along toward a mean 27.37 yet easily floated above that level with most of its momentum overall... a small early position at 27.37ish was early yet small...the likelihood for lower price opportunities are still great as are the ultimate pop-opps near term --

AAPL seemed to hold above a mean 189.79 with most of its momentum today suggesting a near term gravity at the 186 attractor may not cause as much tribulation turbulence as seen at previous attractors of this magnitude ~169,~152,~etc ... this should be an expected characteristic of a stock at this stage - well-off the bottom and well-oriented toward the upward direction(swing-backs are hypothesized to tend to lessen in intensity and/or degree as the bottom fades away in the distant ever-yonder-hindsightsville), and - in this case propelled by numerous multistage booster technology types providing ample thrust each...ie the mac line, the iPphone, - any other well designed easy-to-use consumer device form, etc...

Monday, May 12, 2008

AAPL ceeps kreepin along...

If the following series is quickly taken out then apple is probably in near term good shape...if 189.16 holds we could see more difficult tribulation passsing the 186 attractor...

AAPL ~|187.91 ~ 188.54 ~ 189.16 ~ 189.79|

Sunday, May 11, 2008

Tracking Sell Ranges...

XOM ~|104.96 ~ 125.29|
FRO ~|65.72 ~ 77.82|
AAPL ~|186.01 ~ 369.12|
PBR ~|93.35 ~ 89.55|
GOOG ~|982 ~ 1312|
POT ~|232.74 ~ 216.4| ~ inside out volumetrically . fertiliz-E-ternity - split therapy
COP ~|110.66 ~ 130.3|
RIO ~|51.7 ~ 60.54|
XTO ~ |74.06 ~ 75.76 ~ 87.5|

Friday, May 09, 2008

AMSC Swing Hi.. Swing Low...

this is a reminder to look at the tremendous swings to the downside experienced just recently following pops - +plus+ the fact that earnings are not yet actually positive...

I am very cautious on AMSC since I don''t know how fast they will build an order backlog which has proven profit reserves...

I love this stock --> smaller electric ship motor/generator components to windmill and power plant +plus+ electrical transmission components...

what a power play in todays world when the US Navy probably wants to go electric everywhere they can...and everyone knows the wind-power story by now..cheapest alternative to natural gas..profitable right away..etc...

do not forget how recently this was had for 17-19 ... so expecting 24.xx - 27.xx seems not so highly unlikely -- hold tight sit back and hope no news comes in for while...another pop in this stockorn popper may be on its way...

Sometimes FROng is AllSo Right...

Correction to "I've Got a FROeelin..." :

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Pop Goes the SuperMill...

AMSC --> this company has so many exciting things bubbling from the R&D pots...ready to go beyond the mere spillings and sloshings into commercialization cities all around...to full blown serv-it-up platters of viable technology meals - full course meals of various exotic styles

I wouldn't know where to start to guess as to which things are actually happening - suffice it say - things are happening ...

the stock +plus+ its activities in the news are like popcorn kernels settling and bouncing around in a shaky market pot of hot oily greeds frustrations & fears...

when the heat(market) and kernel[news(corn syrup)+equity(shell)] have appropriate trajectoral alignment (ie the kernel is beneath the oil where it's hot enough and for a long enough time to pop on news energy), then the stockorn can pop out of the market's oily grip and fly off in some direction - often ricocheting off adjacent near-concurrent micro/macro news force events -- ex AMSC had popped this morning after brimming to the surface of it's oil bowl for weeks which is ~27is - the news was hot and popped the kernel up up and away to 31ish ... on its way down however it ricocheted off an adjacent broad macro-market force event - ==ie general market positive sentiment with frenzied end of day buying -- an eod rally that ricocheted AMSC to over 32.14 on the close --> therefore... possibly into another oil pot with a higher heat source...although possible not .. and could settle back, however unlike real popcorn, stockorn could encounter another pop ... I hope the following series of price projectures is rapidly taken out to create buying opportunities under 27.37 soon...

AMSC 32.77 ~ 31.87 ~ 30.97 ~ 30.07 ~ 29.17 ~28.27 ~ 27.37| ~ 26.47 ~ 25.57 ~ 24.67|

I would love to get trades on again'n 3rds below 27.37

this stock is ratcheting up though and these may need to be taken in the new pot so to speak -- well above 27.37--> we may surely near to skim the surface of the old pot at least once again...even if it is going higher right away...

if super strong conditions hold this up one strategy is to buy 25% at each of the following price points:
31.87 ~ 30.97 ~ 30.07 ~ 29.17
only make sure this represents less than half your desired position so that if it goes below 27ish - over-doubling down can more than make up for the cost of money you've at that point bought yourself into spending over time while waiting but not earning elsewhere from this same basis...

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Friday, May 02, 2008

Let Me Refraze

"
BOOM ~|101.57 ~ 113.99|* - this stock has a strong likely hood of rapidly hitting 53

*pattern and score seems whacked
"

I did note the score and pattern looked whacked - face it - the chart looked droopy too and 101 - 113.99 -> still exclaim the score looks whacked and the pattern looks droopy - i rate this stock popcorn and you should use sparingly...together with a proper diet of healthy stocks...

or splatting down to 35...which is what happened today -->

in the longer of the run.. BOOM's financial capacities may be able to continue to match demand even in rising commodity-cost environments...buying fertilizer for explosions, gas for welding, and of course steel and such raw materials etc is no cheap venture.

So with higher explosive materials, fuel, and steel costs the larger sales revenues are actually inflated in relation to the net income...offset by pass-through charges for higher steel prices and certainly flat out losses due to higher fuel and explosive materials costs....

perhaps BOOM has a maximum financing capacity and recent extreme costliness of executing ventures has slowed their pace to limit output while concurrently raising sales prices and shrinking profits...If this is the case - banks and financiers might fix this problem by the end of next quarter or so and then eventually back to BOOMsness it could be...maybe BOOM needs more physical plant capacity together with greater in-demand product diversities either through intrinsic or gobbly innovation --> all solutions will need capitalization followed by successful expansion in order to effectuate growth...



some new small exposures here may be appropriate for possible heroic gains again...

was down to 50 shares exposure but tripled that yesterday on the bad news...

This is a Long Term Hold and has potential for walloping gains over time...however, right now there is a possibility for a bounce..or heaven forbid, another waterfall down to 30ish...either way 39 to 44 is likely in the cards for this in the near term for at least a short duration and the long term still sees 53 easy...if BOOM can figure out how to adjust their activities to produce profit by-products....