BOOM +6 points ... Darn - this one is on the shopping list...the problem with shopping lists is that without money to shop they're nothing more than lists...
If you missed your date with a bottom-dwelling darling, don't worry - there will be plenty of traders playing this bottom...
everyone knows that bottoms are rough and a lot of bouncing is likely - so, when 5 to 10 point moves hurl these Ghetto-Fabulous stocks off the bottom, traders will be chopping out profits and creating more buying opportunities...There should be plenty of trading channels developing along the way back up toward the Pacific Heights where stocks will eventually be once they've finally made their way back home following the recession fest...So, for major stocks which have great economic stories - buying on the major dips should offer high likelihoods for rapid profitable trading opportunities... excellent insulation against downside risk is inherently intrinsic to bottom bouncing trades...think about it..if you were being dragged along the bottom and pushed around, you'd bounce up every now and then when the pushing pulls and the bottom contours aligned, combined, and applied their forces to propel you upwardly...since you had been sinking and are still oriented for travel in that direction it takes a few bounces to even get you re-oriented to optimize upward traveling following a push-pull-collide-bounce event...The Key Here IS that when you come back down to ready for another jettison experience - You Hit A Bottom and Stop Falling...so traders love this...they will be buying and popping and selling over and over again...once the push-pull forces start to get stronger and the stocks are comfortably aligned for upward travel they will no longer fall all the way to the bottom anymore, but rather come to rest before reaching the bottom and remain buoyant there until the next move up - falling less and less after each burst as they move farther and farther from bottom - this is not to imply you shouldn't expect the bottom not to drop successively...if the bottom is a slope going down and you are bouncing along in the downward sloping direction - guess what - you can still know you won't fall forever while realizing you are falling lower each time just to get to the SAME BOTTOM.....example - i will not be surprised if Apple sees 118.35 or even as low as 101.42 if things DRAG Along Long Enough before propellants are powerful enough to launch it from the Bottomousphere out into the Profosphere...
Short Term Trading Opportunities Abound:
While the market was BOTTOMING UP - took positions in:
AAPL 128
PBR 90
AUY 14.75
These look great right now, but the lows could be tested again and instant profits can fall off faster than they fell in...expect this to repeat in the short term - up and down - over and over - off and in --
seeking possible Super-Poppers:
BOOM
AMSC
FCEL
AVAV
DSTI
WFR
ESLR
FRO
Embellishing around the core position with Poppers-Extraordinaire:
AAPL
PBR
GOOG
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Monday, January 21, 2008
Snorkeling Fringelessly Around the Seas of Prosperities
notice that the Fed's couldn't just leave rates alone in the first place...so that the people who signed loans could continue to operate their micro-economies utilizing the loan products provided to them to work in the interest rate environment for which they were designed...this is all just a way to generate more churn as currency goes in and out of economic flows...instead of just having money jumping in and out of the stock market like a porpoise in the sea, the intentions here seem to be to make dramatic transitions from porpoise to bird - bird to porpoise - stocks to real estate - real estate to stocks - and other investments types - this kind of major rate manipulation stabbing and slicing at American businesses and investors is what continues to keep the flows of all financial markets headed for the most part in the same direction...We obviously are experiencing major turbulences in the flows at the moment therefore many currents are driving values all over the place - some where they would normally never go and when flows begin to return to normal, these values will tend to be carried back toward their original path...identifying these and where to get in as they circle around the Eddies & Tides of this reverse osmosis market the Fed's have delivered to us in testing all their fancy Global Monetary Transporter Influologies on World Economic Flows...
It seems that now the global flow is also being stirred and reverted --> wealth is transitioning all over the world right now --> mostly fundage seems to have been flowing away from the US and now it's coming back...to buy the remaining assets which are tied more directly to the physical properties and attributes of American entities.
It seems that now the global flow is also being stirred and reverted --> wealth is transitioning all over the world right now --> mostly fundage seems to have been flowing away from the US and now it's coming back...to buy the remaining assets which are tied more directly to the physical properties and attributes of American entities.
The Market is Like a Griddle Full of Pancakes...
They have to be flipped eventually and when they are ... there is always a momentary lapse in predictability while they hover in the air halfway upside down...at this moment some of the batter which is not completely cooked from the last heat-trend exposure goes flying off the sides - some batter droplets luckily land precariously on the sides of the skillet other's land right in the flames...until the pancake lands successfully on the uncooked side, revealing an unburned bottom and beginning to cook on the new side, no one is willing to commit to any condimentary or pancake futures...I mean really - would you buy into plates and syrup if you didn't even know if the pancake was going to crash and burn on the flip...
So what kind of pancakes is the US cooking at the moment...Blueberry, Strawberry, Blackberry...mmmm.....no
We've been serving up WarBerry pancakes, election beignets, and iPhone waffles...etc etc, now we're flipping some war pancakes and everyone wants to know where the burned spots are and if the other side is ready to cook - is the heat too high, which contracts are getting lost in the flip etc
Sprint pancake got flipped right into the fire...apple's iPhone was expected to displace 350,000 sprint customers but the flip revealed a big BURN - 638,000 lost customers and they are trying to blame it on the recession --> sorry Nextel --> Millennium Fashion demands Walkie talkies with color screens...!
Maybe when the AT&T pancake lands this week --> their underbelly earnings will be buttery, glistening, and golden brown --> their cakes extra plump with spill-over dough from the reckless Sprint-Nextel flip-out...!
So what kind of pancakes is the US cooking at the moment...Blueberry, Strawberry, Blackberry...mmmm.....no
We've been serving up WarBerry pancakes, election beignets, and iPhone waffles...etc etc, now we're flipping some war pancakes and everyone wants to know where the burned spots are and if the other side is ready to cook - is the heat too high, which contracts are getting lost in the flip etc
Sprint pancake got flipped right into the fire...apple's iPhone was expected to displace 350,000 sprint customers but the flip revealed a big BURN - 638,000 lost customers and they are trying to blame it on the recession --> sorry Nextel --> Millennium Fashion demands Walkie talkies with color screens...!
Maybe when the AT&T pancake lands this week --> their underbelly earnings will be buttery, glistening, and golden brown --> their cakes extra plump with spill-over dough from the reckless Sprint-Nextel flip-out...!
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Bounces Abounding...
If normal laws of physics apply when the ground is reached a falling ball will bounce...
If a full bounce happens now:
FRO ~ 40.289 ~ 44.678 ~| 37.24 is a strong position in FRO --> owning FRO below 37.24 is a boon for long term investors...the latest run will be completed diminished if FRO drops below 29.26...
If a full bounce happens now:
FRO ~ 40.289 ~ 44.678 ~| 37.24 is a strong position in FRO --> owning FRO below 37.24 is a boon for long term investors...the latest run will be completed diminished if FRO drops below 29.26...
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Bigger Implications...
The Mac Book Air - what a beautiful work of art --> until the flip-out connectors flip out...
anyway - once again - it's not about the product but rather its interconnections among other products together with the experience while doing so...
this AirBook Mac probably creates an equivalent difference of presence in your hands as that of a beautifully hard-bound book printed with 100% acid free materials does from an airport floor-novel paperback.....
The iTunes connected to the MacAir - the Mac Air connected to the Air Extreme - the Air Extreme connected to the Time Capsule - the Time Capsule Connected to all the local Macs & back to the Air Extremes -Do See DO and round we go - spin yur Apple round the barn - etc etc very circular here....
anyway - once again - it's not about the product but rather its interconnections among other products together with the experience while doing so...
this AirBook Mac probably creates an equivalent difference of presence in your hands as that of a beautifully hard-bound book printed with 100% acid free materials does from an airport floor-novel paperback.....
The iTunes connected to the MacAir - the Mac Air connected to the Air Extreme - the Air Extreme connected to the Time Capsule - the Time Capsule Connected to all the local Macs & back to the Air Extremes -Do See DO and round we go - spin yur Apple round the barn - etc etc very circular here....
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Apple on the Cheap from Here to Profit...
Apple below 169 is as close to a sure good deal as you one could hope to get; that is if one is sure that the position is sustainable against forced selling pressure trying to unwind market longs...
apple could easily drop to 153ish average bottom level..layering in positions starting at below 169 is a strategy not depending on guessinghte correct bottom here...
144 should be the ultimate tail winded end of the bottoms underbelly if awful selling misery persists in sickening the markets...
apple could easily drop to 153ish average bottom level..layering in positions starting at below 169 is a strategy not depending on guessinghte correct bottom here...
144 should be the ultimate tail winded end of the bottoms underbelly if awful selling misery persists in sickening the markets...
Monday, January 14, 2008
zAp pole Fur Ya...
the lackluster trading activity so far this year has been lackening luster at an excelararming rate --> fiendishly frothing in gold but pairing away slowly at the stars of the show - like Apple...
Apple has been weak leading up to MacWorld - where the last 2 years there was strength at these stages preceding MacWorld, followed by Sell Offs....!
maybe this year the opposite will unfold...a reverse flow...duldrums up to the MacWorld ...et voila...Steve Jobs unveils the tip of yet another digit on the hands of macoliferation, an enormous thumb sprout...I have said this before and I will add it to this blog...Apple TV will be HUGER than anyone expected...it was merely intended to approach infancy...eventually aTV will easily tie in to the interconnecting web of apple devices, operating environments, applications, and content...users are directly buying commodity items such as hardware, software, content..etc, but experience achieved while using Apple's various product entities can never be made into a commodity due to the complexity of intrinsically interdependent interconnections which are inherently imposing influences indiscriminately on the user before during and after use of any Apple device... - which you are paying for one way or another ... because at this point yu cannot buy anything without some of yur money supporting someone's goal to save for either an Apple product or some Apple stock...
that will be the next fun app on the iphone - after you make a purchase you get to see all the different places your money diverges to through your merchants accounts...
a sudden pop tomorrow following Steve Job's KeyNote and hopefully on and up and away like a b e a u t FULL Balloon -->
Apple has been weak leading up to MacWorld - where the last 2 years there was strength at these stages preceding MacWorld, followed by Sell Offs....!
maybe this year the opposite will unfold...a reverse flow...duldrums up to the MacWorld ...et voila...Steve Jobs unveils the tip of yet another digit on the hands of macoliferation, an enormous thumb sprout...I have said this before and I will add it to this blog...Apple TV will be HUGER than anyone expected...it was merely intended to approach infancy...eventually aTV will easily tie in to the interconnecting web of apple devices, operating environments, applications, and content...users are directly buying commodity items such as hardware, software, content..etc, but experience achieved while using Apple's various product entities can never be made into a commodity due to the complexity of intrinsically interdependent interconnections which are inherently imposing influences indiscriminately on the user before during and after use of any Apple device... - which you are paying for one way or another ... because at this point yu cannot buy anything without some of yur money supporting someone's goal to save for either an Apple product or some Apple stock...
that will be the next fun app on the iphone - after you make a purchase you get to see all the different places your money diverges to through your merchants accounts...
a sudden pop tomorrow following Steve Job's KeyNote and hopefully on and up and away like a b e a u t FULL Balloon -->
Sunday, January 13, 2008
“But the Fed is responsible not only for the national economy. It is responsible for defending the dollar, which represents the real savings and wealth of the nation. And that dollar has lost more value in seven years than in any similar period in modern history. A euro, worth 83 cents the year Bush was elected, has risen in value to $1.47. “
Here in lies the dilemma – the dollar value is tied to interest rates if we lower rates too low to save the credit universe we risk overdoing it and destroying the currency universe – if interest rates get too low – there will be no foreign investing in our paper products and a run on our goods – driving us back toward a manufacturing society and away from being a services and high-finance capital-centric society
"{
The Crash of 2008?
by Patrick J. Buchanan
In March 1929, the Harding-Coolidge era came to an end. The eight years had witnessed the greatest peacetime prosperity of any nation in history: America in the Roaring Twenties. Early that March, Calvin Coolidge handed the presidency over to Herbert Hoover, who had just pulled off a third straight Republican landslide.
"I do not choose to run," said Coolidge, who could easily have won a second full term. Silent Cal went home. Hoover, whom he privately derided as "Wonder Boy," presided over the Crash of '29 and the first three years of the Great Depression.
History holds Harding, Coolidge and Hoover responsible for the Depression, with Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon, and Reed Smoot and Willis Hawley of Smoot-Hawley fame, as accessories. As Voltaire observed, history is a pack of lies agreed upon.
Two men debunked the myth that the low-tax, high-tariff policy of the 1920s brought on the Depression. The more famous is Milton Friedman, who proved to the satisfaction of a Nobel Prize committee that the Depression was a monetary phenomenon. The Fed had opened the sluices, and the money had swamped the stock market.
When Wall Street crashed, there came a run on the banks by men who had bought on margin, a depositors' stampede, a bank collapse, a wipeout of uninsured savings and the loss of a third of the money supply, lifeblood of the economy. The Fed never gave the nation the needed transfusions. Hoover and FDR, misdiagnosing the crisis, raised taxes and wrote up new regulations, which was like putting a body cast on a patient in shock from the loss of a third of his blood.
The Smoot-Hawley myth, repeated by John McCain in the Detroit debate, was demolished by Alfred Eckes of Ohio University, Reagan's man at the FTC and America's foremost authority on the history of trade and tariffs, in his 1995 "Opening America's Markets."
The point of this brief history: The recent hand-off from Alan Greenspan, the maestro of the Global Economy, to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke may turn out to have been a lateral far behind the line of scrimmage, leaving Bernanke holding the bag for a recession for which he is no more responsible than was the hapless Hoover.
Last week, the stock market saw 4 percent of its value wiped out. Oil reached nearly $100 a barrel. The dollar fell to record lows against the Canadian dollar and the euro. The price of gold was $850 an ounce, signaling inflation and a worldwide lack of confidence in the Fed's ability or determination to defend the world's reserve currency.
The Chinese, with $1.4 trillion in reserves, perhaps 80 percent in dollar assets, indicated they may dump dollars and move into euros. Merrill-Lynch took an $8 billion hit. Citibank is signaling massive losses from its subprime mortgage debt. General Motors reported an operating loss of $1.6 billion for the quarter and a whopping $39 billion charge that is among the biggest profit hits ever reported
Where does this leave Bernanke? On the horns of a dilemma.
Exposure of all that subprime debt going rotten on the books of our biggest banks, the staggering losses being reported, the inability of homeowners to refinance or borrow any further against their equity, the credit crunch -- all argue for an easy money policy to get capital back into the economic bloodstream.
Thus the Fed has cut interest rates from 5.25 percent to 4.5 percent, thus the howls for deeper cuts, thus the market anticipation of another cut, though the Fed has said no more.
But the Fed is responsible not only for the national economy. It is responsible for defending the dollar, which represents the real savings and wealth of the nation. And that dollar has lost more value in seven years than in any similar period in modern history. A euro, worth 83 cents the year Bush was elected, has risen in value to $1.47.
As the dollar sinks, exporters may cheer rising sales, but at home we will soon find that the prices of all those imported goods from Europe and Asia down at the mall are starting to rise. U.S. soldiers, diplomats, tourists and businessmen overseas are already feeling the pain of a falling dollar.
If a recession is generally a sign the Fed should loosen up, a run on the dollar is a sign the Fed should tighten by raising interest rates to make dollars and dollar-denominated assets more attractive.
But the Fed's raising of interest rates would push up the rates on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans, and push millions of marginal folks into bankruptcy and the country into recession, a disaster for the Republicans.
But, given their free-trade fanaticism and free-spending ways, that fate would not be undeserved. Say a prayer for Ben Bernanke. He may have to eat the football that scrambling quarterback Greenspan tossed to him far behind the line of scrimmage.
}"
Here in lies the dilemma – the dollar value is tied to interest rates if we lower rates too low to save the credit universe we risk overdoing it and destroying the currency universe – if interest rates get too low – there will be no foreign investing in our paper products and a run on our goods – driving us back toward a manufacturing society and away from being a services and high-finance capital-centric society
"{
The Crash of 2008?
by Patrick J. Buchanan
In March 1929, the Harding-Coolidge era came to an end. The eight years had witnessed the greatest peacetime prosperity of any nation in history: America in the Roaring Twenties. Early that March, Calvin Coolidge handed the presidency over to Herbert Hoover, who had just pulled off a third straight Republican landslide.
"I do not choose to run," said Coolidge, who could easily have won a second full term. Silent Cal went home. Hoover, whom he privately derided as "Wonder Boy," presided over the Crash of '29 and the first three years of the Great Depression.
History holds Harding, Coolidge and Hoover responsible for the Depression, with Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon, and Reed Smoot and Willis Hawley of Smoot-Hawley fame, as accessories. As Voltaire observed, history is a pack of lies agreed upon.
Two men debunked the myth that the low-tax, high-tariff policy of the 1920s brought on the Depression. The more famous is Milton Friedman, who proved to the satisfaction of a Nobel Prize committee that the Depression was a monetary phenomenon. The Fed had opened the sluices, and the money had swamped the stock market.
When Wall Street crashed, there came a run on the banks by men who had bought on margin, a depositors' stampede, a bank collapse, a wipeout of uninsured savings and the loss of a third of the money supply, lifeblood of the economy. The Fed never gave the nation the needed transfusions. Hoover and FDR, misdiagnosing the crisis, raised taxes and wrote up new regulations, which was like putting a body cast on a patient in shock from the loss of a third of his blood.
The Smoot-Hawley myth, repeated by John McCain in the Detroit debate, was demolished by Alfred Eckes of Ohio University, Reagan's man at the FTC and America's foremost authority on the history of trade and tariffs, in his 1995 "Opening America's Markets."
The point of this brief history: The recent hand-off from Alan Greenspan, the maestro of the Global Economy, to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke may turn out to have been a lateral far behind the line of scrimmage, leaving Bernanke holding the bag for a recession for which he is no more responsible than was the hapless Hoover.
Last week, the stock market saw 4 percent of its value wiped out. Oil reached nearly $100 a barrel. The dollar fell to record lows against the Canadian dollar and the euro. The price of gold was $850 an ounce, signaling inflation and a worldwide lack of confidence in the Fed's ability or determination to defend the world's reserve currency.
The Chinese, with $1.4 trillion in reserves, perhaps 80 percent in dollar assets, indicated they may dump dollars and move into euros. Merrill-Lynch took an $8 billion hit. Citibank is signaling massive losses from its subprime mortgage debt. General Motors reported an operating loss of $1.6 billion for the quarter and a whopping $39 billion charge that is among the biggest profit hits ever reported
Where does this leave Bernanke? On the horns of a dilemma.
Exposure of all that subprime debt going rotten on the books of our biggest banks, the staggering losses being reported, the inability of homeowners to refinance or borrow any further against their equity, the credit crunch -- all argue for an easy money policy to get capital back into the economic bloodstream.
Thus the Fed has cut interest rates from 5.25 percent to 4.5 percent, thus the howls for deeper cuts, thus the market anticipation of another cut, though the Fed has said no more.
But the Fed is responsible not only for the national economy. It is responsible for defending the dollar, which represents the real savings and wealth of the nation. And that dollar has lost more value in seven years than in any similar period in modern history. A euro, worth 83 cents the year Bush was elected, has risen in value to $1.47.
As the dollar sinks, exporters may cheer rising sales, but at home we will soon find that the prices of all those imported goods from Europe and Asia down at the mall are starting to rise. U.S. soldiers, diplomats, tourists and businessmen overseas are already feeling the pain of a falling dollar.
If a recession is generally a sign the Fed should loosen up, a run on the dollar is a sign the Fed should tighten by raising interest rates to make dollars and dollar-denominated assets more attractive.
But the Fed's raising of interest rates would push up the rates on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans, and push millions of marginal folks into bankruptcy and the country into recession, a disaster for the Republicans.
But, given their free-trade fanaticism and free-spending ways, that fate would not be undeserved. Say a prayer for Ben Bernanke. He may have to eat the football that scrambling quarterback Greenspan tossed to him far behind the line of scrimmage.
}"
Friday, January 11, 2008
Y'all, ...that Glitters
reconsidering Stocks Wants Likes to get...
chunk up hard on the lows:
AUY - a must have (this is now part of the core - PBR AAPL FRO AUY - for 2008)
consider nibblers here
ABX
GOLD
LIHR
Note: If you have to have a financial play - consider GS - if I was in anything else financial and wanted to stay in anything financial, I would sell it and buy GS.
chunk up hard on the lows:
AUY - a must have (this is now part of the core - PBR AAPL FRO AUY - for 2008)
consider nibblers here
ABX
GOLD
LIHR
Note: If you have to have a financial play - consider GS - if I was in anything else financial and wanted to stay in anything financial, I would sell it and buy GS.
Thursday, January 10, 2008
Eagle Update
various new precision oriented interaction boundaries are forming an age characterized with applications fueled by data...data is becoming the oil resource of the future already, and applications, ships and jet's providing varieties of well defined and accurately executed, valid and reliable roles...securing assets...facilitating our economic expansions, contractions, and interactive complexities...or...applications propagating intrinsic innovation exponentially along neural-processing architectures structured to channel data into and out of databases while altering its attributes, properties, and characteristics - much like a refinery...
this is truly becoming the age of application centric flows among socio-economic entities "intermersed" globally throughout most technologically capable ecosystems...
this is truly becoming the age of application centric flows among socio-economic entities "intermersed" globally throughout most technologically capable ecosystems...
Warning -- Alert -- Beware -- Watch Out --~!
Bag Url or have a frown...
Big Oil --> will continue to help those who stockpile oil to do so and with fervor.
these Oil's are real sports...they bend over backwards for customers who steer ships and fly jets all over the world on their behalf protecting their assets while pumping money into their bank accounts & siphoning money out of macro economies like a defense tax built into transportation and manufacturing CAS's...those same jet-setters also stockpile oil for fuel - just in case there is an emergency they will still be able fly around protecting acquisitions of more stockpiles for the next emergencies...you see - once added to the competitive nature of countries attempting to sequester ever larger & larger stockpiles au'lunedeautre ... hee hee hee -- it's brilliant..this way when we find out that OIL is way way way to valuable to burn...?...there will at least still be some left in our stockpiles...
in not so many words as above...which aren't really anything more than accurate conveyances void of any reliability or validity...
BUYing small chunks here and there could be a good idea in the following nursemaids to the world...
PBR
COP
RDS.A
XOM
CVX
TOT
BP
LUKOY
SHI
www.on a lighter note - these companies will lead us to sustainability and all the green stuff everyone dreams of --> so save your hate...@...LoveEnergy dot What it Does for Life dot today and in the future dot keep an open mind dot invest with confidence dot realize your dreams dot internet confusion dot org dot gov dot com
Big Oil --> will continue to help those who stockpile oil to do so and with fervor.
these Oil's are real sports...they bend over backwards for customers who steer ships and fly jets all over the world on their behalf protecting their assets while pumping money into their bank accounts & siphoning money out of macro economies like a defense tax built into transportation and manufacturing CAS's...those same jet-setters also stockpile oil for fuel - just in case there is an emergency they will still be able fly around protecting acquisitions of more stockpiles for the next emergencies...you see - once added to the competitive nature of countries attempting to sequester ever larger & larger stockpiles au'lunedeautre ... hee hee hee -- it's brilliant..this way when we find out that OIL is way way way to valuable to burn...?...there will at least still be some left in our stockpiles...
in not so many words as above...which aren't really anything more than accurate conveyances void of any reliability or validity...
BUYing small chunks here and there could be a good idea in the following nursemaids to the world...
PBR
COP
RDS.A
XOM
CVX
TOT
BP
LUKOY
SHI
www.on a lighter note - these companies will lead us to sustainability and all the green stuff everyone dreams of --> so save your hate...@...LoveEnergy dot What it Does for Life dot today and in the future dot keep an open mind dot invest with confidence dot realize your dreams dot internet confusion dot org dot gov dot com
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
2008 1-8 ... a glimpse of the pain that day...
Instructions for viewing chart:
look, imagine pain, excerpt soul whale - repeat...
FROish + PBRish + AAPLish + FCELish with leverage...
thanks to the process of reversification - there's still opportunity to see higher lows followed by higher highs once again...
FROish + PBRish + AAPLish + FCELish with fewer stocks & no leverage...
look, imagine pain, excerpt soul whale - repeat...
FROish + PBRish + AAPLish + FCELish with leverage...
thanks to the process of reversification - there's still opportunity to see higher lows followed by higher highs once again...
FROish + PBRish + AAPLish + FCELish with fewer stocks & no leverage...
Apple in the house...
look for strong shelf levels on apple
buying apple at levels listed below is likely to lead to profits considering indicators in the immediate earth environment - no reason to mention outer space or anything, which is where this stock seems destined to go:
AAPL - 186.33 ~ 169.7 ~ 153.07
More Price Activity Experimental Guess Calculation Results:
180.77 ~ 182 ~ 183.23 ~ 184.46 ~ 185.69 ~ 186.33 ~ 186.92 ~ 184.28 ~ 182.23 ~ 180.78...etc... ~ 175.24 ~ 178.93 ~ 182.63
AAPL probable MAJOR upper technical Near-Term-Bounds (up to 18 months)... ~ 203.3 ~ 269 ~|
depending on fanatacisms the above pattern could be phase shifted up or down - experimental calculations have not been applied to determine possible phase boundaries...or, it could be upside down --> I repeat myself when under stress...which is what I'll be if this patter presents upside down --> which is apparently about 40% likely...
many smaller bounds are abounding in and among the bounds bounded above...
it would appear that psycho-social, economic, and trend elements will be in place and achieve direct,proximal, &or collateral market climax momentum runs sometimes up to and into the next 1.5 to 3 years which make this investment at these levels attractive in terms of propensities toward maximizing desired outcomes...I will spare you the details...
be sure to leave yourself room for trading volatility &or options around your CORE position-->Which is NEVER to be SOLD...!!!
buying apple at levels listed below is likely to lead to profits considering indicators in the immediate earth environment - no reason to mention outer space or anything, which is where this stock seems destined to go:
AAPL - 186.33 ~ 169.7 ~ 153.07
More Price Activity Experimental Guess Calculation Results:
180.77 ~ 182 ~ 183.23 ~ 184.46 ~ 185.69 ~ 186.33 ~ 186.92 ~ 184.28 ~ 182.23 ~ 180.78...etc... ~ 175.24 ~ 178.93 ~ 182.63
AAPL probable MAJOR upper technical Near-Term-Bounds (up to 18 months)... ~ 203.3 ~ 269 ~|
depending on fanatacisms the above pattern could be phase shifted up or down - experimental calculations have not been applied to determine possible phase boundaries...or, it could be upside down --> I repeat myself when under stress...which is what I'll be if this patter presents upside down --> which is apparently about 40% likely...
many smaller bounds are abounding in and among the bounds bounded above...
it would appear that psycho-social, economic, and trend elements will be in place and achieve direct,proximal, &or collateral market climax momentum runs sometimes up to and into the next 1.5 to 3 years which make this investment at these levels attractive in terms of propensities toward maximizing desired outcomes...I will spare you the details...
be sure to leave yourself room for trading volatility &or options around your CORE position-->Which is NEVER to be SOLD...!!!
Petrobras Energia and the Great Snaffu...
Hee Hee - the press incorrectly credited this little high-spec offshoot of Petroleo Brasileiro with PBR's patent to some billions of barrels of sweet light crude just off the Brazilian coast...
now that PZE is unfolding to the tune of the truth --> all they really have is a bunch of gas stations in non-capitalist countries which are fed buy PZE owned and operated refineries...
What's the mention - well --> the market needs to normalize and all re-regulation cycles involving human emotion driven factors, whether charted individually or collectively as is done for trading activities, will show repeating patterns of over corrections and re-corrections that seem to diminish harmonically....
so - PZE went way up on lies - all lies --!!!
Media tells it how it is...& PZE goes from "all swelt-up to roly poly" in a matter of minuets.
there should be a deep dive here that undoes reality and must be re-corrected -->
PZE could trade as low as 5.97 but will work it's way back to test 13 eventually...
I will watch for these levels and see if they appear...
PZE
if major resistance here possible bounce to .. then followed by harmonically diminishing re-corrections
11.82 - 13.38-13.77 (13.38-13.77 - 11.56-11.3) (11.3-11.56 - 12.08-12.34) (12.08-12.34 - 11.65-11.82) etc etc etc
10.65 - normalizing downwardly - resistance here leads bounce to - 12.21-12.6
9.48 - 11.04-11.43
8.31 - 9.87- 10.26
7.14 - 8.7-9.09
5.97 - 7.53-7.92
these are experimental calculations which are barely accurate at best, have no proof of reliability, and are not shown to utilize any valid methodologies...
This is extremely speculative and may be more fun to watch from the sidelines....It might actually happen to some degree here and give us a neat chart pattern representative of collective neuronal receptor re-regulation as imposed on buying and selling behaviors
now that PZE is unfolding to the tune of the truth --> all they really have is a bunch of gas stations in non-capitalist countries which are fed buy PZE owned and operated refineries...
What's the mention - well --> the market needs to normalize and all re-regulation cycles involving human emotion driven factors, whether charted individually or collectively as is done for trading activities, will show repeating patterns of over corrections and re-corrections that seem to diminish harmonically....
so - PZE went way up on lies - all lies --!!!
Media tells it how it is...& PZE goes from "all swelt-up to roly poly" in a matter of minuets.
there should be a deep dive here that undoes reality and must be re-corrected -->
PZE could trade as low as 5.97 but will work it's way back to test 13 eventually...
I will watch for these levels and see if they appear...
PZE
if major resistance here possible bounce to .. then followed by harmonically diminishing re-corrections
11.82 - 13.38-13.77 (13.38-13.77 - 11.56-11.3) (11.3-11.56 - 12.08-12.34) (12.08-12.34 - 11.65-11.82) etc etc etc
10.65 - normalizing downwardly - resistance here leads bounce to - 12.21-12.6
9.48 - 11.04-11.43
8.31 - 9.87- 10.26
7.14 - 8.7-9.09
5.97 - 7.53-7.92
these are experimental calculations which are barely accurate at best, have no proof of reliability, and are not shown to utilize any valid methodologies...
This is extremely speculative and may be more fun to watch from the sidelines....It might actually happen to some degree here and give us a neat chart pattern representative of collective neuronal receptor re-regulation as imposed on buying and selling behaviors
Frontline Tanker, Apple, & Petroleo Brasileiro...
If you have not received notice yet - now you have - these stocks look to be winners for 2008 and beyond...
Core positions in these are fundamental to the 2008 "Complete Portfolio"
AAPL
FRO
PBR
I expect all kinds of crazy volatility as we swoon in and out of imminent war with Iran, doom in financial markets, and slow spells that keep getting excited from market hypothermia.
This volatility has already provided several opportunities to actively trade around the core positions. FRO has already yielded 2of2 profitable schnitzel trades this year...
Let's face it - FRO faces its worst fears everyday in the straits of Hormuz - as investors we face our worst fears everyday in the streets of Manhattan - therefore we are FRO - No _ really --> FRO will see all kinds of danger as we dance around wars and terroristic claimancies...HUGE swings are likely....
I expect Dips and Pops followed by Swings and Hurls....
careful monitoring is recommended if any dabbling you do yeah...warning...some Lunging may occur
Core positions in these are fundamental to the 2008 "Complete Portfolio"
AAPL
FRO
PBR
I expect all kinds of crazy volatility as we swoon in and out of imminent war with Iran, doom in financial markets, and slow spells that keep getting excited from market hypothermia.
This volatility has already provided several opportunities to actively trade around the core positions. FRO has already yielded 2of2 profitable schnitzel trades this year...
Let's face it - FRO faces its worst fears everyday in the straits of Hormuz - as investors we face our worst fears everyday in the streets of Manhattan - therefore we are FRO - No _ really --> FRO will see all kinds of danger as we dance around wars and terroristic claimancies...HUGE swings are likely....
I expect Dips and Pops followed by Swings and Hurls....
careful monitoring is recommended if any dabbling you do yeah...warning...some Lunging may occur
2008 Complete Portfolio Following First Reversification in the Slough...
AAPL
FCEL
FRO
GOOG
PBR
FSLR
RDS.A
COP
AUY
UTX
TNP
DSTI
AVAV
POT
PFCE
Starting 2008 Complete Portfolio is Below...
"Complete Portfolio"
AAPL FCEL FRO BOOM GOOG AMSC SFL PBR COP RDS.A CREE UTX TNP HOLX NVDA FSLR
AVAV LDK WFR RTP DOCKF POT SPWR SGR MDR AUY FCX PFCE SATC MCEL DSTI ETLY
The stocks listed below will most likely continue to provide nice investing opportunities in 2008 but were dropped to shift capital to vehicles with interpreted better chances of a stronger and quicker recovery from the slough-->Reversification
BOOM AMSC SFL CREE HOLX NVDA LDK WFR RTP DOCKF POT SPWR SGR MDR FCX SATC
FCEL
FRO
GOOG
PBR
FSLR
RDS.A
COP
AUY
UTX
TNP
DSTI
AVAV
POT
PFCE
Starting 2008 Complete Portfolio is Below...
"Complete Portfolio"
AAPL FCEL FRO BOOM GOOG AMSC SFL PBR COP RDS.A CREE UTX TNP HOLX NVDA FSLR
AVAV LDK WFR RTP DOCKF POT SPWR SGR MDR AUY FCX PFCE SATC MCEL DSTI ETLY
The stocks listed below will most likely continue to provide nice investing opportunities in 2008 but were dropped to shift capital to vehicles with interpreted better chances of a stronger and quicker recovery from the slough-->Reversification
BOOM AMSC SFL CREE HOLX NVDA LDK WFR RTP DOCKF POT SPWR SGR MDR FCX SATC
Ba HumBug AT&T...
CEO Randall Stephenson of AT&T had to come out yesterday and blab some doom comment all over the press..
What a Guy...!
Thanks Randy...
Firstly - I think Randall is confused about one thing..or another...like..why his residential customers are canceling landlines, making fewer cell calls, and buying less equipment...
It has nothing to do with the recession - which is real but doesn't need Randall's help by jumping to conclusions...
Let clarify what's going on for you Randy...
1. people are canceling land lines so they would have more funds to buy apple stock. This need for funds is what caused them to remember they had a land line to cancel.
2. people are making fewer calls because they are too busy playing with an iPhone or reading steadily toward obtaining one...
3. people are buying less equipment because their wallets are cinched up following the fist evolution of the mark-n-sting grabvertising campaign hypersnyping iphonage
So - as for slow consumers - their moments that matter will continue to be those centered on luxury electronics, communications, and required transportations, transactions, & consumptions...or especially conservations thereof (watch closely in 2008 for wild rides in AMSC CREE FCEL FSLR DSTI BOOM etc etc etc as everyone and some dogs scramble to generate ever more costly energy conservation systems while all the while improving margins....in other words these companies all have commercializable product lines today and this year to next which will be sought after for larger and larger projects while at the same time this activity will continue to drive scaling prosperity in service and supply chains ultimately reducing all associated production costs leading to higher profits and stronger growth....)
What a Guy...!
Thanks Randy...
Firstly - I think Randall is confused about one thing..or another...like..why his residential customers are canceling landlines, making fewer cell calls, and buying less equipment...
It has nothing to do with the recession - which is real but doesn't need Randall's help by jumping to conclusions...
Let clarify what's going on for you Randy...
1. people are canceling land lines so they would have more funds to buy apple stock. This need for funds is what caused them to remember they had a land line to cancel.
2. people are making fewer calls because they are too busy playing with an iPhone or reading steadily toward obtaining one...
3. people are buying less equipment because their wallets are cinched up following the fist evolution of the mark-n-sting grabvertising campaign hypersnyping iphonage
So - as for slow consumers - their moments that matter will continue to be those centered on luxury electronics, communications, and required transportations, transactions, & consumptions...or especially conservations thereof (watch closely in 2008 for wild rides in AMSC CREE FCEL FSLR DSTI BOOM etc etc etc as everyone and some dogs scramble to generate ever more costly energy conservation systems while all the while improving margins....in other words these companies all have commercializable product lines today and this year to next which will be sought after for larger and larger projects while at the same time this activity will continue to drive scaling prosperity in service and supply chains ultimately reducing all associated production costs leading to higher profits and stronger growth....)
Sunday, January 06, 2008
Saturday, January 05, 2008
History Repeats Itself...
Fisrt we had a credit crunch with fears of inflation followed by bad jobs reports, and so the Fed's came to the rescue and lower rates...and then a corrected jobs report was released showing a gain of thousands of jobs instead of a loss...
Now we had another jobs report gone bad - just whenthe Fed's need to squeeze as much money from the markets as possible - even if it's going straight back in- they need to get it circulating again ... and generating taxes ... I will not be surprised if they come out with a correction to this jobs report in a couple of months...
Now we had another jobs report gone bad - just whenthe Fed's need to squeeze as much money from the markets as possible - even if it's going straight back in- they need to get it circulating again ... and generating taxes ... I will not be surprised if they come out with a correction to this jobs report in a couple of months...
Friday, January 04, 2008
Apple Fall Far from the Tree...?
maybe not...a nice rebound to 186.33 and then to 192ish should be pretty quick and tidy as soon as all this regressionary hoopla wears off...if it wears off...otherwise...go the movies...
eventually it has to take out 203.3 and then it's off to the races for a while...
some are recommending call spreads here on AAPL-
sell a far out (time & money)covered call on apple and use the proceeds to purchase near the money near term call...
sounds like a good idea...
eventually it has to take out 203.3 and then it's off to the races for a while...
some are recommending call spreads here on AAPL-
sell a far out (time & money)covered call on apple and use the proceeds to purchase near the money near term call...
sounds like a good idea...
Stagflationary Recessionism
recession digression trauma drama among psycho-social circles may actually digress us deeper into the recession we are just about to come out of....
I don't know where everyone else has been --> but it feels like we've been in this recessagflationary state for some time depending on what indicators you look at or who you listen to - the inverted yield curve for the last year or so...etc etc - mixed sector inflation and falling house prices where most US areas are affected tremendously and some are only slightly --> there's always a spending requirement somewhere...no matter how confusing and traumatized it may seem - remember economies are distributed and growing in such a way that only things which kill so many of us you won't need to worry anymore can stop it...
let's see what makes the global economies grow - war peace disaster serenity shopping - so if all we do is sit back and eat drive and eventually need medical care...then everything which needs to happen to make the leading companies grow will continue to happen...
so eat drink and be merry --> Happy New Year !!!!!!!!!!!!!
I don't know where everyone else has been --> but it feels like we've been in this recessagflationary state for some time depending on what indicators you look at or who you listen to - the inverted yield curve for the last year or so...etc etc - mixed sector inflation and falling house prices where most US areas are affected tremendously and some are only slightly --> there's always a spending requirement somewhere...no matter how confusing and traumatized it may seem - remember economies are distributed and growing in such a way that only things which kill so many of us you won't need to worry anymore can stop it...
let's see what makes the global economies grow - war peace disaster serenity shopping - so if all we do is sit back and eat drive and eventually need medical care...then everything which needs to happen to make the leading companies grow will continue to happen...
so eat drink and be merry --> Happy New Year !!!!!!!!!!!!!
Let It Bleed...
now that the Fed has delayed just long enough to flush out all the major profit holders they can following the new year, maybe we can move on and get to cutting rates...
it makes perfect sense...the govt makes money when people take profits, so maybe the fed is stalling the rate cuts to flush out as many profit holders as possible...
since the new year is in there are plenty of tax-deferring profit holders left and now they are scaret'n'runnin...
once all the turncoats are flushed out maybe the feds will step in and smash the rates down...
no matter what --> it seems that pain is not going anywhere soon and that I should take my own advice to run, run like the wind...speaking of running...
reversification of the day:
closed out: MDR FCX RTP and used the proceeds to add more to GOOG FRO FSLR DSTI
I still like the mining stocks - it's just that I haven't heard anything about fuel costs affecting profits at mining companies...I would have to deduce that mining uses a lot of huge fuel sucking engines and various types of power hungry electrical motors too probably...surely they attempt to hedge against fuel and costs by purchasing futures or something like that, but tis can't be completely foolproof... as for MDR - i just didn't like the look of the chart in terms of the likely rate and range of recovery price movements...
it makes perfect sense...the govt makes money when people take profits, so maybe the fed is stalling the rate cuts to flush out as many profit holders as possible...
since the new year is in there are plenty of tax-deferring profit holders left and now they are scaret'n'runnin...
once all the turncoats are flushed out maybe the feds will step in and smash the rates down...
no matter what --> it seems that pain is not going anywhere soon and that I should take my own advice to run, run like the wind...speaking of running...
reversification of the day:
closed out: MDR FCX RTP and used the proceeds to add more to GOOG FRO FSLR DSTI
I still like the mining stocks - it's just that I haven't heard anything about fuel costs affecting profits at mining companies...I would have to deduce that mining uses a lot of huge fuel sucking engines and various types of power hungry electrical motors too probably...surely they attempt to hedge against fuel and costs by purchasing futures or something like that, but tis can't be completely foolproof... as for MDR - i just didn't like the look of the chart in terms of the likely rate and range of recovery price movements...
Thursday, January 03, 2008
GO GOOGLE GO ... Go GOO GOO GOOGLE ....GOO
Gooble Dooble Goo....
Have a gooby snack...
Accurate:
GOOG fup [(~ 706.8 ~ 725.82 ~ 735.71 ~ |765.36| ~ 722.54 ~ 739.02 ~ 717.6 ~ 757.1 ~ 763.71 ~ 765.36 ~ {822.99 ~ 776.89 ~ |701.13| ~ 768.65 ~ 951.44 ~ 984.39})(+-5%) ~|]
Not Accurate:
GOOG fup [(~ 763 ~ 824 ~ 777 ~ |703| ~ 776 ~ 949 ~ 980)(+-5%) ~|]
Note: results have not been proven reliable and methods used to derive results have not been shown to be valid...
1 SHARE FOR $685 COULD POSSIBLY GROW TO $984.39 GIVEN THE MARKET PROCESS&ENTITY FLOWS SEEMINGLY IN PLACE AS OF LATE IN TRADING THIS STOCK
Have a gooby snack...
Accurate:
GOOG fup [(~ 706.8 ~ 725.82 ~ 735.71 ~ |765.36| ~ 722.54 ~ 739.02 ~ 717.6 ~ 757.1 ~ 763.71 ~ 765.36 ~ {822.99 ~ 776.89 ~ |701.13| ~ 768.65 ~ 951.44 ~ 984.39})(+-5%) ~|]
Not Accurate:
GOOG fup [(~ 763 ~ 824 ~ 777 ~ |703| ~ 776 ~ 949 ~ 980)(+-5%) ~|]
Note: results have not been proven reliable and methods used to derive results have not been shown to be valid...
1 SHARE FOR $685 COULD POSSIBLY GROW TO $984.39 GIVEN THE MARKET PROCESS&ENTITY FLOWS SEEMINGLY IN PLACE AS OF LATE IN TRADING THIS STOCK
Bust a'5RO FRO...
FRO looks poised to break 50 soon...
some will wait till it breaks 50 then begin buying in increments hoping to concentrate most of the buys on pullbacks testing the underside of the 50 boundary...
some may go ahead and start taking bites now and all the way thru up and down and all around - half of these people might try to time the market swings and the other half could just do it randomly...one third of the people who do it randomly sometimes follow pattern forced by the availability of new funds - one third by the availability of recirculated funds, and the other third - well...they're just wild -
and then some
some will wait till it breaks 50 then begin buying in increments hoping to concentrate most of the buys on pullbacks testing the underside of the 50 boundary...
some may go ahead and start taking bites now and all the way thru up and down and all around - half of these people might try to time the market swings and the other half could just do it randomly...one third of the people who do it randomly sometimes follow pattern forced by the availability of new funds - one third by the availability of recirculated funds, and the other third - well...they're just wild -
and then some
Trouble Sleeping...? Try the Sleeper...A Growth-Income Stock Portfolio -
AUY* - 2.5%
HOLX* - 2.5%
AAPL - 20%
AMSC* - 2.5%
DSTI* - 2.5%
FCEL* - 5%
FRO - 30%
SFL - 5%
TNP - 5%
PBR - 12.5%
UTX - 12.5%
*Seemingly Way Higher Risk - But Some High Growth Potential is part of a good precariously balanced growth & income stock portfolio...
HOLX* - 2.5%
AAPL - 20%
AMSC* - 2.5%
DSTI* - 2.5%
FCEL* - 5%
FRO - 30%
SFL - 5%
TNP - 5%
PBR - 12.5%
UTX - 12.5%
*Seemingly Way Higher Risk - But Some High Growth Potential is part of a good precariously balanced growth & income stock portfolio...
Oil Floats to the Top...
Guessing again... technical range of Nymex Crude seems to be to 127.5 +-5%
doesn't mean there won't be any interference to swat it back down, but the possibility is there...
hmm...think of the possibilities...whatever they are...
doesn't mean there won't be any interference to swat it back down, but the possibility is there...
hmm...think of the possibilities...whatever they are...
Gloom n Doom Start...
Amazingly - the tankers, oils and various others have carried the Chaotic balance portfolios to an overall loss today of .00106%....I am very pleased at the resilience of these equities in this market, and this does seem to be the market - not broken companies, or even broken stocks - just look at the intraday candlesticks of very different companies with similar intraday patterns...seeing this kind of pattern-matching all over the place may indicate general market malaise on strong stocks as tax-defferring profit takers hit hard following a HUGE year...on the up side there were many strong stocks:
FRO
PBR*
SATC
DSTI
LDK
SFL
TNP
AUY
etc etc
* Selected Most Likely Leaper in 2008
with satc going bannanas I think there may be a lot of alternative energy projects being planned for construction which are expected to use their parts...this could also be an indicator that 2008 will be good for the type of companies that would be involved in these types of activities and other infrastructure stuff = SGR MDR SATC FCEL LDK WFR SPWR FSLR etc etc
however, i must recommend you stop now - take your money and run...!!! or don't...!!!
it's your call...
FRO
PBR*
SATC
DSTI
LDK
SFL
TNP
AUY
etc etc
* Selected Most Likely Leaper in 2008
with satc going bannanas I think there may be a lot of alternative energy projects being planned for construction which are expected to use their parts...this could also be an indicator that 2008 will be good for the type of companies that would be involved in these types of activities and other infrastructure stuff = SGR MDR SATC FCEL LDK WFR SPWR FSLR etc etc
however, i must recommend you stop now - take your money and run...!!! or don't...!!!
it's your call...
Tuesday, January 01, 2008
Ouch - what if theres a Sell Off ...
Suck It Up...
A lot of selling could occur as some take profits after the new year - Maybe some people wanted to move their profits to another stock or sector but preferred to deffer taxes another year...well they might Wait until just after the new year and start taking profits...
This could happen - but this is just a buying opportunity if it does - these may be the ones that make money again in 2008...
Watch for a sell off on high flyers and buy small amounts on the dips...
FSLR
AAPL
SPWR
etc etc
A lot of selling could occur as some take profits after the new year - Maybe some people wanted to move their profits to another stock or sector but preferred to deffer taxes another year...well they might Wait until just after the new year and start taking profits...
This could happen - but this is just a buying opportunity if it does - these may be the ones that make money again in 2008...
Watch for a sell off on high flyers and buy small amounts on the dips...
FSLR
AAPL
SPWR
etc etc
2007 12-31 Annual Portfolio Performance Charts....
almost all dividends in every portfolios were re-invested using DRIP program...
This chart shows a glimpse of the perfect balance of growth and income...FRO + AAPL = What You See Here...
FROish + AAPLish stocks blended together...
FROish + AAPLish stocks blended together with leverage...
FROish stocks blended together...
FROish + AAPLish stocks blended together in larger numbers and rotated more often with leverage...
Sweet Apple Slices...
Apple ... the Best Stock for 2008...?
Apple and Intel
Apple Targets Exit Solar System with Voyager
Apples Wireless Fast Food for Pickup --> Frapa802.11achino - this is a teency beginning of something that will be tremendously enormous --> trenormous, which is yet still larger than ginormous...
Apple TV Downloads Services & Hopefully better hardwae + More
Apple and Intel
Apple Targets Exit Solar System with Voyager
Apples Wireless Fast Food for Pickup --> Frapa802.11achino - this is a teency beginning of something that will be tremendously enormous --> trenormous, which is yet still larger than ginormous...
Apple TV Downloads Services & Hopefully better hardwae + More
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