FedWheelin...

Just like any proper four wheeling adventure: While the Fed navigates along the bumpy market bottoms, most of the deepest holes to oblivion will only be visible as we're steered around them. It can seem quite scary staring down at dark puddles that could flip your entire vehicle right-upside down, and to make it worse - the Fed's and Market people are only human too - they have to play around a little for LearninSake - this means a few minor holes are steered into with vigor as we bounce around the catastrophic ones - even an occasional hole in the road where no major one is being averted at all - a seemingly simple YeeHa maneuver resulting to bounce some people out the back of the truck - a residual resilient exhilarant effect leftover from experiencing scared people jumping off on previous deliberate recovery bounces, but when those thought the vehicle was going to flip and sometimes with a same driver didn't in fact not letting down...and no flip occurred at all...

Don't be a jumper - never go off the Truck...!!!

Fueling up the Truck is a continuous Effort...
The following are rated suitable-so-far and can be loaded at will...but as with any heavy material - loading in small pieces wherever possible is recommended
AAPL
GOOG
PBR
FRO
TNP
COP
RDS.A
UTX

AVAV
BOOM
AMSC
FCEL
POT
FSLR
DSTI
PFCE

All that Glitters...

watch for new lows on AUY for re-entry opportunities...
Looking @ Levels:
9.4 ~ 10.3 ~ 11.2 ~ 12.1 ~ 13 ~ 13.9 ~ 14.8|

I like AUY @ 12.1...
...am comfortable up to 14.8
but am sold at levels of late...

Seeking the Long Haul...

on short notice...my favorite place to be lost in the midst of tribulations aligned with better realities all around...let's face it...we're now in the most volatile stock market that has ever existed, yet so many entities are reaching all time record levels of stability across their stranded quantum footprints...

the best thing to do here is to focus on the best of the best - buy the dips and squirrel away your expectations - find your way to an employer who is headed for better excellence --> buckle up and launch yourself into the existential spread across quanta-space.time framework laid before you...

Now is the time to ready for a long running expansion of contracted entities which compress the collective Jing of their entire industries through fulfillment of internally developing maturation concurrently with intrinsically enhanced consolidate growth...

If you put your life there you'd need a reason better to invest...? - so if you aren't supporting your own interests - now is the time to start...think about increasing your proportion of new investment to your own companies stock...or what are you doing with your life...I certainly wish that was an easy question to answer...but it's not, so close one eye at a time so you can't gain a fully visual impact of this mostly painful market that will inevitably become a transparently invisible blip in the history of our charts...

Slowly targeting bottom impact events on the following stocks which are showing their Bounce along the bottom...==>try to buy these near-to below their recent lows...::

the ones to get which inflect major waves of future market flurries and storms powering amongst "societelectrostruchanical" necessity...

ATP_U - Canadian or (ATPWF - US)
BPT_U - Canadian
AMSC
FCEL
ABB
BOOM
FSLR
DSTI

or societransactrenderlying inevitability...

AAPL
GOOG
AVAV
COP
PBR
UTX
FRO
TNP
POT

some other trendy guys & gals...still window shopping down here up there and beyond...
narrow baskets here should not lose or lack excessive gain over the next 18 months...

SFL
SHI
RIO
ACH
HON SI GE

Oh Misery...Oh Misery...

What Bear Markets Are To Me...

I used to have some money green...
now I flee the banking scene...

I used to smile and profit free...
now I frown the loss of glee...

Oh Misery Oh Misery...
what the selling does to me...

Bottoms Up...!!!

BOOM +6 points ... Darn - this one is on the shopping list...the problem with shopping lists is that without money to shop they're nothing more than lists...

If you missed your date with a bottom-dwelling darling, don't worry - there will be plenty of traders playing this bottom...


everyone knows that bottoms are rough and a lot of bouncing is likely - so, when 5 to 10 point moves hurl these Ghetto-Fabulous stocks off the bottom, traders will be chopping out profits and creating more buying opportunities...There should be plenty of trading channels developing along the way back up toward the Pacific Heights where stocks will eventually be once they've finally made their way back home following the recession fest...So, for major stocks which have great economic stories - buying on the major dips should offer high likelihoods for rapid profitable trading opportunities... excellent insulation against downside risk is inherently intrinsic to bottom bouncing trades...think about it..if you were being dragged along the bottom and pushed around, you'd bounce up every now and then when the pushing pulls and the bottom contours aligned, combined, and applied their forces to propel you upwardly...since you had been sinking and are still oriented for travel in that direction it takes a few bounces to even get you re-oriented to optimize upward traveling following a push-pull-collide-bounce event...The Key Here IS that when you come back down to ready for another jettison experience - You Hit A Bottom and Stop Falling...so traders love this...they will be buying and popping and selling over and over again...once the push-pull forces start to get stronger and the stocks are comfortably aligned for upward travel they will no longer fall all the way to the bottom anymore, but rather come to rest before reaching the bottom and remain buoyant there until the next move up - falling less and less after each burst as they move farther and farther from bottom - this is not to imply you shouldn't expect the bottom not to drop successively...if the bottom is a slope going down and you are bouncing along in the downward sloping direction - guess what - you can still know you won't fall forever while realizing you are falling lower each time just to get to the SAME BOTTOM.....example - i will not be surprised if Apple sees 118.35 or even as low as 101.42 if things DRAG Along Long Enough before propellants are powerful enough to launch it from the Bottomousphere out into the Profosphere...

Short Term Trading Opportunities Abound:
While the market was BOTTOMING UP - took positions in:
AAPL 128
PBR 90
AUY 14.75

These look great right now, but the lows could be tested again and instant profits can fall off faster than they fell in...expect this to repeat in the short term - up and down - over and over - off and in --

seeking possible Super-Poppers:
BOOM
AMSC
FCEL
AVAV
DSTI
WFR
ESLR
FRO

Embellishing around the core position with Poppers-Extraordinaire:
AAPL
PBR
GOOG

Snorkeling Fringelessly Around the Seas of Prosperities

notice that the Fed's couldn't just leave rates alone in the first place...so that the people who signed loans could continue to operate their micro-economies utilizing the loan products provided to them to work in the interest rate environment for which they were designed...this is all just a way to generate more churn as currency goes in and out of economic flows...instead of just having money jumping in and out of the stock market like a porpoise in the sea, the intentions here seem to be to make dramatic transitions from porpoise to bird - bird to porpoise - stocks to real estate - real estate to stocks - and other investments types - this kind of major rate manipulation stabbing and slicing at American businesses and investors is what continues to keep the flows of all financial markets headed for the most part in the same direction...We obviously are experiencing major turbulences in the flows at the moment therefore many currents are driving values all over the place - some where they would normally never go and when flows begin to return to normal, these values will tend to be carried back toward their original path...identifying these and where to get in as they circle around the Eddies & Tides of this reverse osmosis market the Fed's have delivered to us in testing all their fancy Global Monetary Transporter Influologies on World Economic Flows...

It seems that now the global flow is also being stirred and reverted --> wealth is transitioning all over the world right now --> mostly fundage seems to have been flowing away from the US and now it's coming back...to buy the remaining assets which are tied more directly to the physical properties and attributes of American entities.

The Market is Like a Griddle Full of Pancakes...

They have to be flipped eventually and when they are ... there is always a momentary lapse in predictability while they hover in the air halfway upside down...at this moment some of the batter which is not completely cooked from the last heat-trend exposure goes flying off the sides - some batter droplets luckily land precariously on the sides of the skillet other's land right in the flames...until the pancake lands successfully on the uncooked side, revealing an unburned bottom and beginning to cook on the new side, no one is willing to commit to any condimentary or pancake futures...I mean really - would you buy into plates and syrup if you didn't even know if the pancake was going to crash and burn on the flip...

So what kind of pancakes is the US cooking at the moment...Blueberry, Strawberry, Blackberry...mmmm.....no

We've been serving up WarBerry pancakes, election beignets, and iPhone waffles...etc etc, now we're flipping some war pancakes and everyone wants to know where the burned spots are and if the other side is ready to cook - is the heat too high, which contracts are getting lost in the flip etc

Sprint pancake got flipped right into the fire...apple's iPhone was expected to displace 350,000 sprint customers but the flip revealed a big BURN - 638,000 lost customers and they are trying to blame it on the recession --> sorry Nextel --> Millennium Fashion demands Walkie talkies with color screens...!

Maybe when the AT&T pancake lands this week --> their underbelly earnings will be buttery, glistening, and golden brown --> their cakes extra plump with spill-over dough from the reckless Sprint-Nextel flip-out...!

Bounces Abounding...

If normal laws of physics apply when the ground is reached a falling ball will bounce...

If a full bounce happens now:
FRO ~ 40.289 ~ 44.678 ~| 37.24 is a strong position in FRO --> owning FRO below 37.24 is a boon for long term investors...the latest run will be completed diminished if FRO drops below 29.26...

Bigger Implications...

The Mac Book Air - what a beautiful work of art --> until the flip-out connectors flip out...

anyway - once again - it's not about the product but rather its interconnections among other products together with the experience while doing so...

this AirBook Mac probably creates an equivalent difference of presence in your hands as that of a beautifully hard-bound book printed with 100% acid free materials does from an airport floor-novel paperback.....

The iTunes connected to the MacAir - the Mac Air connected to the Air Extreme - the Air Extreme connected to the Time Capsule - the Time Capsule Connected to all the local Macs & back to the Air Extremes -Do See DO and round we go - spin yur Apple round the barn - etc etc very circular here....

What'd Ya Do...?

SO Far -->

stop buying AUY @ 17

Apple on the Cheap from Here to Profit...

Apple below 169 is as close to a sure good deal as you one could hope to get; that is if one is sure that the position is sustainable against forced selling pressure trying to unwind market longs...


apple could easily drop to 153ish average bottom level..layering in positions starting at below 169 is a strategy not depending on guessinghte correct bottom here...

144 should be the ultimate tail winded end of the bottoms underbelly if awful selling misery persists in sickening the markets...

zAp pole Fur Ya...

the lackluster trading activity so far this year has been lackening luster at an excelararming rate --> fiendishly frothing in gold but pairing away slowly at the stars of the show - like Apple...

Apple has been weak leading up to MacWorld - where the last 2 years there was strength at these stages preceding MacWorld, followed by Sell Offs....!

maybe this year the opposite will unfold...a reverse flow...duldrums up to the MacWorld ...et voila...Steve Jobs unveils the tip of yet another digit on the hands of macoliferation, an enormous thumb sprout...I have said this before and I will add it to this blog...Apple TV will be HUGER than anyone expected...it was merely intended to approach infancy...eventually aTV will easily tie in to the interconnecting web of apple devices, operating environments, applications, and content...users are directly buying commodity items such as hardware, software, content..etc, but experience achieved while using Apple's various product entities can never be made into a commodity due to the complexity of intrinsically interdependent interconnections which are inherently imposing influences indiscriminately on the user before during and after use of any Apple device... - which you are paying for one way or another ... because at this point yu cannot buy anything without some of yur money supporting someone's goal to save for either an Apple product or some Apple stock...

that will be the next fun app on the iphone - after you make a purchase you get to see all the different places your money diverges to through your merchants accounts...

a sudden pop tomorrow following Steve Job's KeyNote and hopefully on and up and away like a b e a u t FULL Balloon -->

“But the Fed is responsible not only for the national economy. It is responsible for defending the dollar, which represents the real savings and wealth of the nation. And that dollar has lost more value in seven years than in any similar period in modern history. A euro, worth 83 cents the year Bush was elected, has risen in value to $1.47. “

Here in lies the dilemma – the dollar value is tied to interest rates if we lower rates too low to save the credit universe we risk overdoing it and destroying the currency universe – if interest rates get too low – there will be no foreign investing in our paper products and a run on our goods – driving us back toward a manufacturing society and away from being a services and high-finance capital-centric society

"{
The Crash of 2008?
by Patrick J. Buchanan

In March 1929, the Harding-Coolidge era came to an end. The eight years had witnessed the greatest peacetime prosperity of any nation in history: America in the Roaring Twenties. Early that March, Calvin Coolidge handed the presidency over to Herbert Hoover, who had just pulled off a third straight Republican landslide.

"I do not choose to run," said Coolidge, who could easily have won a second full term. Silent Cal went home. Hoover, whom he privately derided as "Wonder Boy," presided over the Crash of '29 and the first three years of the Great Depression.

History holds Harding, Coolidge and Hoover responsible for the Depression, with Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon, and Reed Smoot and Willis Hawley of Smoot-Hawley fame, as accessories. As Voltaire observed, history is a pack of lies agreed upon.
Two men debunked the myth that the low-tax, high-tariff policy of the 1920s brought on the Depression. The more famous is Milton Friedman, who proved to the satisfaction of a Nobel Prize committee that the Depression was a monetary phenomenon. The Fed had opened the sluices, and the money had swamped the stock market.

When Wall Street crashed, there came a run on the banks by men who had bought on margin, a depositors' stampede, a bank collapse, a wipeout of uninsured savings and the loss of a third of the money supply, lifeblood of the economy. The Fed never gave the nation the needed transfusions. Hoover and FDR, misdiagnosing the crisis, raised taxes and wrote up new regulations, which was like putting a body cast on a patient in shock from the loss of a third of his blood.

The Smoot-Hawley myth, repeated by John McCain in the Detroit debate, was demolished by Alfred Eckes of Ohio University, Reagan's man at the FTC and America's foremost authority on the history of trade and tariffs, in his 1995 "Opening America's Markets."

The point of this brief history: The recent hand-off from Alan Greenspan, the maestro of the Global Economy, to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke may turn out to have been a lateral far behind the line of scrimmage, leaving Bernanke holding the bag for a recession for which he is no more responsible than was the hapless Hoover.

Last week, the stock market saw 4 percent of its value wiped out. Oil reached nearly $100 a barrel. The dollar fell to record lows against the Canadian dollar and the euro. The price of gold was $850 an ounce, signaling inflation and a worldwide lack of confidence in the Fed's ability or determination to defend the world's reserve currency.

The Chinese, with $1.4 trillion in reserves, perhaps 80 percent in dollar assets, indicated they may dump dollars and move into euros. Merrill-Lynch took an $8 billion hit. Citibank is signaling massive losses from its subprime mortgage debt. General Motors reported an operating loss of $1.6 billion for the quarter and a whopping $39 billion charge that is among the biggest profit hits ever reported

Where does this leave Bernanke? On the horns of a dilemma.

Exposure of all that subprime debt going rotten on the books of our biggest banks, the staggering losses being reported, the inability of homeowners to refinance or borrow any further against their equity, the credit crunch -- all argue for an easy money policy to get capital back into the economic bloodstream.

Thus the Fed has cut interest rates from 5.25 percent to 4.5 percent, thus the howls for deeper cuts, thus the market anticipation of another cut, though the Fed has said no more.
But the Fed is responsible not only for the national economy. It is responsible for defending the dollar, which represents the real savings and wealth of the nation. And that dollar has lost more value in seven years than in any similar period in modern history. A euro, worth 83 cents the year Bush was elected, has risen in value to $1.47.

As the dollar sinks, exporters may cheer rising sales, but at home we will soon find that the prices of all those imported goods from Europe and Asia down at the mall are starting to rise. U.S. soldiers, diplomats, tourists and businessmen overseas are already feeling the pain of a falling dollar.

If a recession is generally a sign the Fed should loosen up, a run on the dollar is a sign the Fed should tighten by raising interest rates to make dollars and dollar-denominated assets more attractive.

But the Fed's raising of interest rates would push up the rates on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans, and push millions of marginal folks into bankruptcy and the country into recession, a disaster for the Republicans.

But, given their free-trade fanaticism and free-spending ways, that fate would not be undeserved. Say a prayer for Ben Bernanke. He may have to eat the football that scrambling quarterback Greenspan tossed to him far behind the line of scrimmage.
}"

Y'all, ...that Glitters

reconsidering Stocks Wants Likes to get...
chunk up hard on the lows:
AUY - a must have (this is now part of the core - PBR AAPL FRO AUY - for 2008)

consider nibblers here
ABX
GOLD
LIHR

Note: If you have to have a financial play - consider GS - if I was in anything else financial and wanted to stay in anything financial, I would sell it and buy GS.

Eagle Update

various new precision oriented interaction boundaries are forming an age characterized with applications fueled by data...data is becoming the oil resource of the future already, and applications, ships and jet's providing varieties of well defined and accurately executed, valid and reliable roles...securing assets...facilitating our economic expansions, contractions, and interactive complexities...or...applications propagating intrinsic innovation exponentially along neural-processing architectures structured to channel data into and out of databases while altering its attributes, properties, and characteristics - much like a refinery...

this is truly becoming the age of application centric flows among socio-economic entities "intermersed" globally throughout most technologically capable ecosystems...

Warning -- Alert -- Beware -- Watch Out --~!

Bag Url or have a frown...

Big Oil --> will continue to help those who stockpile oil to do so and with fervor.

these Oil's are real sports...they bend over backwards for customers who steer ships and fly jets all over the world on their behalf protecting their assets while pumping money into their bank accounts & siphoning money out of macro economies like a defense tax built into transportation and manufacturing CAS's...those same jet-setters also stockpile oil for fuel - just in case there is an emergency they will still be able fly around protecting acquisitions of more stockpiles for the next emergencies...you see - once added to the competitive nature of countries attempting to sequester ever larger & larger stockpiles au'lunedeautre ... hee hee hee -- it's brilliant..this way when we find out that OIL is way way way to valuable to burn...?...there will at least still be some left in our stockpiles...

in not so many words as above...which aren't really anything more than accurate conveyances void of any reliability or validity...
BUYing small chunks here and there could be a good idea in the following nursemaids to the world...
PBR
COP
RDS.A

XOM
CVX
TOT
BP
LUKOY
SHI

www.on a lighter note - these companies will lead us to sustainability and all the green stuff everyone dreams of --> so save your hate...@...LoveEnergy dot What it Does for Life dot today and in the future dot keep an open mind dot invest with confidence dot realize your dreams dot internet confusion dot org dot gov dot com

2008 1-8 ... a glimpse of the pain that day...

Instructions for viewing chart:
look, imagine pain, excerpt soul whale - repeat...

FROish + PBRish + AAPLish + FCELish with leverage...


thanks to the process of reversification - there's still opportunity to see higher lows followed by higher highs once again...







FROish + PBRish + AAPLish + FCELish with fewer stocks & no leverage...

Apple in the house...

look for strong shelf levels on apple

buying apple at levels listed below is likely to lead to profits considering indicators in the immediate earth environment - no reason to mention outer space or anything, which is where this stock seems destined to go:
AAPL - 186.33 ~ 169.7 ~ 153.07


More Price Activity Experimental Guess Calculation Results:
180.77 ~ 182 ~ 183.23 ~ 184.46 ~ 185.69 ~ 186.33 ~ 186.92 ~ 184.28 ~ 182.23 ~ 180.78...etc... ~ 175.24 ~ 178.93 ~ 182.63
AAPL probable MAJOR upper technical Near-Term-Bounds (up to 18 months)... ~ 203.3 ~ 269 ~|
depending on fanatacisms the above pattern could be phase shifted up or down - experimental calculations have not been applied to determine possible phase boundaries...or, it could be upside down --> I repeat myself when under stress...which is what I'll be if this patter presents upside down --> which is apparently about 40% likely...
many smaller bounds are abounding in and among the bounds bounded above...

it would appear that psycho-social, economic, and trend elements will be in place and achieve direct,proximal, &or collateral market climax momentum runs sometimes up to and into the next 1.5 to 3 years which make this investment at these levels attractive in terms of propensities toward maximizing desired outcomes...I will spare you the details...

be sure to leave yourself room for trading volatility &or options around your CORE position-->Which is NEVER to be SOLD...!!!

Petrobras Energia and the Great Snaffu...

Hee Hee - the press incorrectly credited this little high-spec offshoot of Petroleo Brasileiro with PBR's patent to some billions of barrels of sweet light crude just off the Brazilian coast...

now that PZE is unfolding to the tune of the truth --> all they really have is a bunch of gas stations in non-capitalist countries which are fed buy PZE owned and operated refineries...

What's the mention - well --> the market needs to normalize and all re-regulation cycles involving human emotion driven factors, whether charted individually or collectively as is done for trading activities, will show repeating patterns of over corrections and re-corrections that seem to diminish harmonically....

so - PZE went way up on lies - all lies --!!!
Media tells it how it is...& PZE goes from "all swelt-up to roly poly" in a matter of minuets.

there should be a deep dive here that undoes reality and must be re-corrected -->

PZE could trade as low as 5.97 but will work it's way back to test 13 eventually...

I will watch for these levels and see if they appear...
PZE
if major resistance here possible bounce to .. then followed by harmonically diminishing re-corrections
11.82 - 13.38-13.77 (13.38-13.77 - 11.56-11.3) (11.3-11.56 - 12.08-12.34) (12.08-12.34 - 11.65-11.82) etc etc etc
10.65 - normalizing downwardly - resistance here leads bounce to - 12.21-12.6
9.48 - 11.04-11.43
8.31 - 9.87- 10.26
7.14 - 8.7-9.09
5.97 - 7.53-7.92

these are experimental calculations which are barely accurate at best, have no proof of reliability, and are not shown to utilize any valid methodologies...

This is extremely speculative and may be more fun to watch from the sidelines....It might actually happen to some degree here and give us a neat chart pattern representative of collective neuronal receptor re-regulation as imposed on buying and selling behaviors

Frontline Tanker, Apple, & Petroleo Brasileiro...

If you have not received notice yet - now you have - these stocks look to be winners for 2008 and beyond...

Core positions in these are fundamental to the 2008 "Complete Portfolio"
AAPL
FRO
PBR

I expect all kinds of crazy volatility as we swoon in and out of imminent war with Iran, doom in financial markets, and slow spells that keep getting excited from market hypothermia.

This volatility has already provided several opportunities to actively trade around the core positions. FRO has already yielded 2of2 profitable schnitzel trades this year...

Let's face it - FRO faces its worst fears everyday in the straits of Hormuz - as investors we face our worst fears everyday in the streets of Manhattan - therefore we are FRO - No _ really --> FRO will see all kinds of danger as we dance around wars and terroristic claimancies...HUGE swings are likely....

I expect Dips and Pops followed by Swings and Hurls....
careful monitoring is recommended if any dabbling you do yeah...warning...some Lunging may occur

2008 Complete Portfolio Following First Reversification in the Slough...

AAPL
FCEL
FRO
GOOG
PBR
FSLR
RDS.A
COP
AUY
UTX
TNP
DSTI
AVAV
POT
PFCE

Starting 2008 Complete Portfolio is Below...
"Complete Portfolio"
AAPL FCEL FRO BOOM GOOG AMSC SFL PBR COP RDS.A CREE UTX TNP HOLX NVDA FSLR
AVAV LDK WFR RTP DOCKF POT SPWR SGR MDR AUY FCX PFCE SATC MCEL DSTI ETLY

The stocks listed below will most likely continue to provide nice investing opportunities in 2008 but were dropped to shift capital to vehicles with interpreted better chances of a stronger and quicker recovery from the slough-->Reversification
BOOM AMSC SFL CREE HOLX NVDA LDK WFR RTP DOCKF POT SPWR SGR MDR FCX SATC

Ba HumBug AT&T...

CEO Randall Stephenson of AT&T had to come out yesterday and blab some doom comment all over the press..

What a Guy...!

Thanks Randy...

Firstly - I think Randall is confused about one thing..or another...like..why his residential customers are canceling landlines, making fewer cell calls, and buying less equipment...

It has nothing to do with the recession - which is real but doesn't need Randall's help by jumping to conclusions...

Let clarify what's going on for you Randy...

1. people are canceling land lines so they would have more funds to buy apple stock. This need for funds is what caused them to remember they had a land line to cancel.

2. people are making fewer calls because they are too busy playing with an iPhone or reading steadily toward obtaining one...

3. people are buying less equipment because their wallets are cinched up following the fist evolution of the mark-n-sting grabvertising campaign hypersnyping iphonage

So - as for slow consumers - their moments that matter will continue to be those centered on luxury electronics, communications, and required transportations, transactions, & consumptions...or especially conservations thereof (watch closely in 2008 for wild rides in AMSC CREE FCEL FSLR DSTI BOOM etc etc etc as everyone and some dogs scramble to generate ever more costly energy conservation systems while all the while improving margins....in other words these companies all have commercializable product lines today and this year to next which will be sought after for larger and larger projects while at the same time this activity will continue to drive scaling prosperity in service and supply chains ultimately reducing all associated production costs leading to higher profits and stronger growth....)

Good News Has Ways & Means...?

This is Good News in So Many Ways
I Like This Idea...Power Plants - Literally...MON...!!!
The Future of LED Lights is Very Bright Indeed
Fuel Cell Updates
Fuel Cell Expo 2008 Exhibitors List

FRO Watch 2

chunking in @ 45.85...
possible support levels:
45.13
41.4
37.67
33.94

History Repeats Itself...

Fisrt we had a credit crunch with fears of inflation followed by bad jobs reports, and so the Fed's came to the rescue and lower rates...and then a corrected jobs report was released showing a gain of thousands of jobs instead of a loss...

Now we had another jobs report gone bad - just whenthe Fed's need to squeeze as much money from the markets as possible - even if it's going straight back in- they need to get it circulating again ... and generating taxes ... I will not be surprised if they come out with a correction to this jobs report in a couple of months...

Apple Fall Far from the Tree...?

maybe not...a nice rebound to 186.33 and then to 192ish should be pretty quick and tidy as soon as all this regressionary hoopla wears off...if it wears off...otherwise...go the movies...

eventually it has to take out 203.3 and then it's off to the races for a while...

some are recommending call spreads here on AAPL-

sell a far out (time & money)covered call on apple and use the proceeds to purchase near the money near term call...

sounds like a good idea...

Stagflationary Recessionism

recession digression trauma drama among psycho-social circles may actually digress us deeper into the recession we are just about to come out of....

I don't know where everyone else has been --> but it feels like we've been in this recessagflationary state for some time depending on what indicators you look at or who you listen to - the inverted yield curve for the last year or so...etc etc - mixed sector inflation and falling house prices where most US areas are affected tremendously and some are only slightly --> there's always a spending requirement somewhere...no matter how confusing and traumatized it may seem - remember economies are distributed and growing in such a way that only things which kill so many of us you won't need to worry anymore can stop it...

let's see what makes the global economies grow - war peace disaster serenity shopping - so if all we do is sit back and eat drive and eventually need medical care...then everything which needs to happen to make the leading companies grow will continue to happen...

so eat drink and be merry --> Happy New Year !!!!!!!!!!!!!

Let It Bleed...

now that the Fed has delayed just long enough to flush out all the major profit holders they can following the new year, maybe we can move on and get to cutting rates...

it makes perfect sense...the govt makes money when people take profits, so maybe the fed is stalling the rate cuts to flush out as many profit holders as possible...

since the new year is in there are plenty of tax-deferring profit holders left and now they are scaret'n'runnin...

once all the turncoats are flushed out maybe the feds will step in and smash the rates down...

no matter what --> it seems that pain is not going anywhere soon and that I should take my own advice to run, run like the wind...speaking of running...

reversification of the day:
closed out: MDR FCX RTP and used the proceeds to add more to GOOG FRO FSLR DSTI

I still like the mining stocks - it's just that I haven't heard anything about fuel costs affecting profits at mining companies...I would have to deduce that mining uses a lot of huge fuel sucking engines and various types of power hungry electrical motors too probably...surely they attempt to hedge against fuel and costs by purchasing futures or something like that, but tis can't be completely foolproof... as for MDR - i just didn't like the look of the chart in terms of the likely rate and range of recovery price movements...

GO GOOGLE GO ... Go GOO GOO GOOGLE ....GOO

Gooble Dooble Goo....

Have a gooby snack...

Accurate:
GOOG fup [(~ 706.8 ~ 725.82 ~ 735.71 ~ |765.36| ~ 722.54 ~ 739.02 ~ 717.6 ~ 757.1 ~ 763.71 ~ 765.36 ~ {822.99 ~ 776.89 ~ |701.13| ~ 768.65 ~ 951.44 ~ 984.39})(+-5%) ~|]


Not Accurate:
GOOG fup [(~ 763 ~ 824 ~ 777 ~ |703| ~ 776 ~ 949 ~ 980)(+-5%) ~|]

Note: results have not been proven reliable and methods used to derive results have not been shown to be valid...

1 SHARE FOR $685 COULD POSSIBLY GROW TO $984.39 GIVEN THE MARKET PROCESS&ENTITY FLOWS SEEMINGLY IN PLACE AS OF LATE IN TRADING THIS STOCK

Bust a'5RO FRO...

FRO looks poised to break 50 soon...

some will wait till it breaks 50 then begin buying in increments hoping to concentrate most of the buys on pullbacks testing the underside of the 50 boundary...

some may go ahead and start taking bites now and all the way thru up and down and all around - half of these people might try to time the market swings and the other half could just do it randomly...one third of the people who do it randomly sometimes follow pattern forced by the availability of new funds - one third by the availability of recirculated funds, and the other third - well...they're just wild -

and then some

Trouble Sleeping...? Try the Sleeper...A Growth-Income Stock Portfolio -

AUY* - 2.5%
HOLX* - 2.5%
AAPL - 20%
AMSC* - 2.5%
DSTI* - 2.5%
FCEL* - 5%
FRO - 30%
SFL - 5%
TNP - 5%
PBR - 12.5%
UTX - 12.5%

*Seemingly Way Higher Risk - But Some High Growth Potential is part of a good precariously balanced growth & income stock portfolio...

Oil Floats to the Top...

Guessing again... technical range of Nymex Crude seems to be to 127.5 +-5%

doesn't mean there won't be any interference to swat it back down, but the possibility is there...

hmm...think of the possibilities...whatever they are...

Gloom n Doom Start...

Amazingly - the tankers, oils and various others have carried the Chaotic balance portfolios to an overall loss today of .00106%....I am very pleased at the resilience of these equities in this market, and this does seem to be the market - not broken companies, or even broken stocks - just look at the intraday candlesticks of very different companies with similar intraday patterns...seeing this kind of pattern-matching all over the place may indicate general market malaise on strong stocks as tax-defferring profit takers hit hard following a HUGE year...on the up side there were many strong stocks:
FRO
PBR*
SATC
DSTI
LDK
SFL
TNP
AUY
etc etc
* Selected Most Likely Leaper in 2008
with satc going bannanas I think there may be a lot of alternative energy projects being planned for construction which are expected to use their parts...this could also be an indicator that 2008 will be good for the type of companies that would be involved in these types of activities and other infrastructure stuff = SGR MDR SATC FCEL LDK WFR SPWR FSLR etc etc

however, i must recommend you stop now - take your money and run...!!! or don't...!!!

it's your call...

Ouch - what if theres a Sell Off ...

Suck It Up...

A lot of selling could occur as some take profits after the new year - Maybe some people wanted to move their profits to another stock or sector but preferred to deffer taxes another year...well they might Wait until just after the new year and start taking profits...

This could happen - but this is just a buying opportunity if it does - these may be the ones that make money again in 2008...

Watch for a sell off on high flyers and buy small amounts on the dips...

FSLR
AAPL
SPWR
etc etc

2007 11-12 ... Most Painful Day Ever...So Far...

2007 12-31 Annual Portfolio Performance Charts....

almost all dividends in every portfolios were re-invested using DRIP program...

This chart shows a glimpse of the perfect balance of growth and income...FRO + AAPL = What You See Here...

FROish + AAPLish stocks blended together...

FROish + AAPLish stocks blended together with leverage...

FROish stocks blended together...

FROish + AAPLish stocks blended together in larger numbers and rotated more often with leverage...

Sweet Apple Slices...

Apple ... the Best Stock for 2008...?

Apple and Intel

Apple Targets Exit Solar System with Voyager

Apples Wireless Fast Food for Pickup --> Frapa802.11achino - this is a teency beginning of something that will be tremendously enormous --> trenormous, which is yet still larger than ginormous...

Apple TV Downloads Services & Hopefully better hardwae + More

What Might be Groovy @ MacWorld...

Of course the Fox-Apple rental service over iTunes...I expect there will be quite a few other major content players wanting a seed of this apple tree...

Apple TV version 2 --> I hope sooner than later...

Some Nifty iPhone Advancement - like 3G, GPS, or Both! - very doubtful - updates will probably be through software enhancements providing new services and features

A New Ultra Portable Line of Notebooks with OLED screen and flash HDD

Some dick tracy video watch with bluetooth hub/repeater --> yeah right...!

Giant touchpad PC to replace notepads all over the house and to prepare us for having a computer on our arm or thigh all the time --> Future ArmPods and ThighPods...

Updates to Old MacBook and MacBook Pro to include options for flash HDD and LED screen technology..

If Intel throws in new 45nm core mobil computing chips for all the new/old lines that's a real boon...badabam...even if they only do some of this stuff --> these things are just the tip of what berg is icing our way with this company...

INTC
AAPL
NVDA

You can't join em...buy em...

You know - now that I look at all the tendrals into technology markets potentially about to take off for this company - I think I have to say the prospects for apples near term growth seem to be even stronger from here than they did when I first started following apple trading at a split-adjusted price of 15...

2007 12-28 Pre-Annual Performance Chart....

The continued profit taking among secondary trader control while the big dogs are on vacation together with FCEL's Connecticut deal being reduced seems to eliminate the possibility of ending the year up over 100%...

Now You Can Come Right Out...

& BLAME CANADA...
...and I WILL

My long time favoritism toward the Canadian Oil & Gas Trusts has once again been shifted out of phase with reality --> I hate to see a good one like this turn bad again - but - and - since - this area has been repeatedly good from time to time sometimes and definitely over all pretty much always in the long run --> a return again to these is highly likely sometime in 2008 if they settle into their next low levels down...or even get clearly valued and go up --> The Key is that it seems No One really knows the true value of these companies...but for long periods the huge dividends keep everyone quiet...Well their screaming now, and I wanted to go with winners like Apple and PBR...etc

Canadian trust holders (that was me...sorry if it was you too - but hol dem and they will continue to pay...) got hammered in the later months of 2007...
...What seemed like what was going to turn into a dreamin screamin cash machine of take overs wound out waiting everyone up like unwanted lay overs instead...only leading to flight delays and over-all flight experiences well below expectations...yes that is what the Canadian take overs started to seem like...so they will continue to go on consolidating and optimizing...

[These Canadian trusts will most Likely Do Fine...I just perceived a better prospect somewhere else and ran for it --> not from these [CNE PGH PVX PWE AAV] <-- some day I may return to these for income-aspect power --> right now I traded them for growth-aspect power --> now there needs to be a powerful aspect of growth or much painful suffering will lull along for half a year...With No Income...!...Ouch...!!!

...not to say the Canadian Trusts are done or anything like that - they continue to pay hefty dividends, have been forced by politicians to improve efficiencies and create sustainable operating methodologies, and are near maximum technically sustainable lows...wherein lies the problem - they only appear to be Near their technically sustainable maximum lows baring unpredictable adverse factors which could eventually under ride even these theoretically calculated lows...so what I'd Do -

Well...I ate em....

since the Canadians were already down (some less than 12 months dividends worth- others more) and the Canadian charts are looking bad - I rotated out and am now officially Blaming Canada for not making my target of 100% gains for comp portfolio for the year...

Oh Yeah, and also especially blaming certain pump-n-dump properties in US, Alaska, and South America...XSNX AKYI FXPE PSEG --> Never Buy Stocks that look like these ones or you too will be sorry you did... as am I...

Stay tuned in for the exciting blame levied against China for 2008 year end market crashes...or something else not like that...

So it's over now...

or... "it's only just begun",

That deepens whenever you look at it...

I hope everyone bought all the stocks that made people a lot of money in 2007 and NOT, "I Repeat Myself When Under Stress", NOT, stocks that caused a lot of losses. I'm guessing here again, but,.... You see, even though these loser stocks may seem like a good bargain if they belong to fantastic companies that just happen to be out of favor for all the wrong reasons...which happens all the time and you just have to cut and run...if you accidentally got in before you found out there was no favor to be found...

No, the bargains may not bounce after the new year unless there is a specific kicker to give a boost - everyone who lost their shirt just sold and put tax losses on their books - federally baring them from buying back for 30 days or something like that...this effect will put a bearish dimple in the technical interpretation of the chart pattern following the new year effect which acts like a tag for negative market sentiment - much the same way as a stock split announcement acts like a tag for positive market sentiment when actually there is nothing different at all outside of the affective stock split-price relative terms used to describe the same underlying things...

Conversely I would surmise that people will buy the 2007 stocks that made them money back again in 2008. Especially, fund managers and those who sold in the last few days of the year. This end of year profit taking seems like it would be against the highest percentage winners of the year since selling them can help balance a portfolio with very little trading activity needed - ie. high profit-margin assets - this has a double whammy n'effect - the light share volume needed to raise money (if that's what's needed) doesn't signal bearish indicators to the market starting a crescendo of selling against the underlying or other stocks...which may also be held by a fund...a fund may be trying to make re-balance their allocations, make minor adjustments to their gains/losses for the year, or shift funds/assets to ready them for the 1st trading session of the new year...etc...therefore they might try to raise capital at this point in the year by light selling in their highest profit margin assets...and trying not to start a selling crescendo...

so wondering how apple can sell off all day with no price movement either way....like it did all day today - this probably means the BIGGEST holders are still holding most of their stuff and didn't want their selling to affect their own portfolio holdings...

truly, I have No idea...But...Let's just hope they aren't waiting to take profits right away in the first of the new year...I think appl looks good to 212 with ease even if a pull back is eminent - this is because it's within 5% of the 203.3 boundary which has been technically met with force +-5% at least twice...



Possible GOOD NEWS - PEOPLE MAY WANT TO BUY THESE GOOD STOCKS BACK AS SOON AS THEY CAN -"After New Year BEGINS" - other wise they won't make money in 2008 too :)

2008 Holdings by Descending Portfolio Percentage...

"Complete Portfolio"
AAPL
FCEL
FRO
BOOM
GOOG
AMSC
SFL
PBR
COP
RDS.A
CREE
UTX
TNP
HOLX
NVDA
FSLR
AVAV
LDK
WFR
RTP
DOCKF
POT
SPWR
SGR
MDR
AUY
FCX
PFCE
SATC
MCEL
DSTI
ETLY

Last trade of 2008:
HOLX

Russia Happy...Iran Happy...Al Qaeda-->Not SO Happy...!!!

Russia can provide oil and nuclear services to the region..

Iran can have electricity and clout..but watch out --> there will be nuclear waste to deal with, and we may have to trust the Russians to make sure it doesn't fall into the wrong hands...

Al Qaeda in Iraq will no longer have easy access to recruitment opportunities, weaponry, trade routes, or advisers...

Now:
Russia can regulate the energy flows for the region...
US can use bases in Iraq to regulate the security of the region's assets and their interconnections...
Iran can regulate the psycho-social entities and their interconnections...

of course these should be areas of focus and not neglect other areas for each

Eagle Century and Energy...

Consumers have spent $7 trillion more on energy the first 7 years of this Eagle century than were spent in the last seven years of the previous Panther century.

Now let's just look at this for a moment - is this correct and what we should expect...or is something wrong?

Answer is...Yes
Yes - this is the way it should be..

Just look at the caloric consumption rate per kilogram body weight of even the smallest of birds...so, if we're going to get this Eagle off the ground it's gonna take a lot of inputs and conservations working together and in very clean manners - Eagles fly better clean...

Superacious Holiday Cheer for ALL...!!!

{
With the Zeal of fleeing Veal...
I wish you this year with seasoned cheer...
The very best of 2007 times of what's left before the gate to 08-->

Merry Christmas - Your friends are truly thinking of Yutew...
}
so watch out...

Year Enders Becoming New Year Beginders...

thought I'd better...BEGIttiniNDEepoRSuffer

AAPL AMSC AUY AVAV
BOOM
COP CREE
DOCKF
ETLY
FCEL FCX FRO FSLR
GOOG
IVN
LMC
MCEL MDR
NVDA
PBR PFCE PGH POT
RDS.A RTP
SATC SFL SGR SPWR
TNP
UTX


A F P & S seem to be the most popular alphabet characters going into the new year, however P might fall behind. I am expecting a temptation to sell a P on Monday, the last trading day of the year...

F-PoP...& It Won't Stop...

FCEL

Gets a nice day today - the bears tugged it down all day only to ultimately be defeated in the end --> and even up on 729,564 shares in after after hours trading

FCEL formed a long lower shadow (a mallet) - indicates that sellers controlled all day but were defeated in later trading

So, if this info is put together with previous days activity it appears the stage is set for an island reversal - so F-Pop...or it'll flip flop and then force stop...till the crops mopped and your jaw drops....

FCEL should not linger long @ lower levels here --> favor is in favor of this favorite...truly a remarkable combination of favoritisms...usually the favored stocks are not flavored for predominate market taste..the ones with favor flavor are

Good News Gone Bad...Ouwie...!!!

FCEL had some great bad-news this morning. This has created a huge buying opportunity.
1. nothing has really changed significantly in terms of FCEL's rapid growth rate
2. the 16.2 MW order has increased the backlog by 50%, so - if new orders come in from other sources soon, it will have been as if the Connecticut 16.2MW deal was bigger anyway - after all - it's in backlog behind 25MW's already
3. the 16.2 deal is not finalized until Jan 9th - Connecticut may add more projects by Jan 9th
4. FCEL was just overly crushed and could bounce back to 11.08 from technical market forces dampening
5. if there's a lot of strength right away there could be an easy bounce to 12.10
6. Most Importantly - FCEL should still be able to achieve the "up-to-20% cost reduction in their supply chain via leverage gained from the large scale requirements of the 25+MW backlog - which is not done growing :) - truly these expected cost reductions are a portion of the short term growth which is priced into the stock. "Bear" in mind here, the 9 MW plant will be the largest fuel cell installation in the world...
7. This company keeps good company...ie Board members, DOE, ...x... etc
8. Regardless of how many alternative energy sources are used to power our future, there will always be gases to deal with and special requirements that only fuel cells offer a cost effective avenue for such efforts given current technology streams

Expect Rapid Technology Development in this Eagle Century...

I expect massive "TechInjection" all over the world as old style systems are updated to all new relpacements instead of upgrades. Land based vehicles have to be redesigned to resist high energy shaped charge attacks as well as fit new engine and drive systems becoming available. Ships and planes and everything else is the same way right now. Retrofits and reuse are becoming less and less practical as fundamental infrastucture technologies are undergoing the most rapid and dramatic component architecture and ancillary system advancements ever seen in the history of humankind's known industrialization.

This might be good for a lot of companies. Some specific areas of interest relatd to this: Love BAESF because - they have the biggest Rail Gun in town...
BAESF - deadly shit
AMSC - new shit
FCEL - new shit
A0N4P4 - shit power & propulsion - TOGNUM on German DAX
BOOM - little shit
UTX - big shit
AVAV - unmanned ariel shit
MDR - nuclear components for massively powered shit

F is still for Friday...

So the market forces have driven FCEL up and a new range may form..

this is cool since back in September I decided to publish the results of my experimental future boundary guesser:

http://noonesapproval.blogspot.com/2007/09/f-is-for-friday.html

Today the easy-side boundary of the new range was met with force and FCEL traded up to and just above the new lower bound for approximately 30 minutes --> only to fall off 20 cents r so.

Remember - 13.12 is still a resistance at this point


{
Saturday, September 08, 2007
F is for Friday.....

and FCEL - Fuel Cell Energy Corp

I'm trying out a new calculation here...so here it goes

My estimate for FCEL's future target range is 13.12-15.68

http://www.vmsdigital.com/MyFiles_Detail.aspx?mediaId=197270&onum=04ACC7C0-9B0D-4472-A447-CF65631B0147

disclosure:
I hold FCEL in one or more portfolios and am prone to active trading.

Posted by ionflare at 1:07 AM

Labels: Fuel Cell Energy
}

Rotation of the day...

sells: ESLR

Buy Bites: AUY ACH

Stocks Wants Likes to Get:
LIHR
ABX
GOLD

FRO Watch...

Waiting for the Ship to come in...

looking to buy at the following levels:

45.13 20%
41.4 30%
37.67 50%


If it goes below 33.94 then:
Double Down Dare Ya...

FRO Out!

Red Hot Alert...

Do You Feel Lusky...?

LMC
IVN

these may give a Super POP soon...

or Not...

Rotational Awareness...

Todays Buys & Sells:

Sells: Some but not all--> FRO DSTI & TEX

BUYS: NAT PBR RIG RTP FCX ESLR FSLR SPWR GOOG SGR MDR CPL

A Tirany of Economic Yrony...

Goldman Sachs made $11 billion hedging against credit-crunch fodder-backed securities and other mortgage related "doomvestments". So, today while clever "GoldenBears" are sheering off their hedge of profits in one Sachs department, another is busy with analysts scurrying around trying to find the best way to put the billions back to work.

Some money is going into stock equities and some of 11 billion is a lot!!

So no wonder today's headlines read:

"Goldman Sachs is stirring fears over credit crunch"

of course they are - they just beat it and now they have to invest their profits - only it's not 100% decided as to where the monies will go and Sachs needs time to settle it and move it into new positions....they probably hope the market will stall here - so find what you like and and you know what to do...

a listener has pointed out a cool website - it shows where the mutual fund managers are putting their money - remember --> all recoveries are asymmetrical to their decline in terms of who goes back up and how far how fast.....

http://thebuylist.com/

Snapping Up Apple...

I still like to bite on the Apple here there and everywhere...

AAPL's new eventual price target ...is...

269.62

There will probably be a a split announced sometime in 2008 and it will probably be sooner than later...

There will probably be a lot of sales in current product lines...

There will probably be some global sales growth...

There will probably be some new HOT products launched early in 2008...

Investors will probably continue to benefit in the long term from buying Apple stock...

FedMech: Synergistic Multi-prong Aproach to Alter Output of Complex Adaptive Economic Systems

The Fed's multi-pronged approach to the credit crunch may be just what a chaotic economic system truly needs...

The coordination among Central Banks and their global counterparts will most likely achieve unprecedented levels of cooperative economic repair influences given the utilization of all the latest technologies and information infrastructures...

There has also been tremendous accomplishments in the application of non-linear approaches to solving all types of highly interconnected centers of crisis formation, so there are most likely aspects of these types of strategies being employed today all over the world while actively rectifying this credit cruncher...

I would also like to note that this trying time is also providing an excellent opportunity to gather data for predictive volatility analysis providing perspectives necessary for scaling our transaction processing infrastructures to handle future market conditions...not to mention the psychosocial implications...

The Bottom Dollar...~

It would seem that if the US dollar is showing signs of having bottomed - and even turned around ... then foreign investors who have been waiting for this indication will move their money into US markets.

We could see some rises in some stocks from this effect...

My best guess is that if I wait to see how it turns out, then I'll know if my guess here is correct.

I guess that it might very well be...correct that is...

Chipping off a Chunk...

is not what you think...

I mean...to chip off a chunk a shares from the float...snatch em up

like a chipmunk...small chips every now and then..

10 shares here 25 shares there .. here a share there a share everywhere a share to snare...

LUKOY
PBR
SHI
CPL
RIO
WFR

these are not necessarily my top picks at the moment - just ones I'd like to have the "Opportunity" - so to speak - to snare some shares....

If you want the definitive "buy me now" stock even if it's just 10 shares...then your talking about UTX @ 77ish

Patterns Still Holding...

Here comes the scary part again..

S'yuh'avtuh AsKyerSuf...

Didyer portfolio make a new high even though the overall market did not..?
If yes --> pattern yursuf on the back for at least still having hope that the portfolio will now make another successively higher low...

Has this happened to a greater degree following each successive short term sell-off..?
If yes --> pattern yursuf on the back for proper reversification technique, and the hope that this will once more occur upon recovery from this current sell-off...

So, 3 times is a charm...if portfolios are making successively higher highs followed by higher lows on each correction, then market pressure has been compressed and is being released through a smaller stock universe...in other words major amounts of money are coming out of various stock market sectors, and when it comes back into the markets it is going back in unevenly - putting more upward pressure on the favored sectors during rallies than that of the downward force during the sell-offs/This phenomena could continue to drive certain stocks higher while the market dozenother southern-sidewinder on us...

Scraping Up Cream Off the Bottom...?

Hmmmm.... Mmmmm.....

Usually you have to rise to the top to scrape the cream...uh-yeah -> Yudeno this if yu'ur from Arkansas

today.. cream like-->

most of your favorite stocks....

<--is like...

on the bottom...

uh-yeah .. the bottom of the top -->

SCRAPE CREAM AT YOUR OWN RISK

Are You Reversified...?

Time for strategic year end reversification...

You might ask ...
Why should I reversify?

One might reply...
Did you over try?

Cry

reversification --> rectification of portfolio over-diversification

When How...?
up to Dec 31st --- sell average loser stocks & redirect funds to a few proven winners

The Boy Who Cried Fuel Cell...

FCEL

a rising but distant star - the most misunderstood fuel cell company on the planet...

I just want to focus on 1 highlight of this quarter's results...

"Research and development contract revenue was $5.5 million, up from $2.5
million in the 2006 fourth quarter resulting from increased activity on the
Company's multi-MW coal based solid oxide contract with the U.S. Department of
Energy." --> excerpt from this quarter's FCEL results and accomplishments statement.

why is this important - what does this statement mean?

This is important because America has a lot of coal, and this project is improving a means by which coal is converted to electricity without combustion. Current DFC plants run at 47% efficiency - 80% utilizing CHP systems.

This statement likely means that research on coal based solid oxide Direct Fuel Cell technology is going well, and the DOE increased the budget to expedite completion of the remaining trial phases. (a little history here - FCEL's DFC system met all the validating criteria put forth by the DOE 6 months ahead of schedule in live-function trials.

FCEL remains prone to volatility and profitable entry points should continue to emerge in the likely and frequent future price swings as the investor market awareness grows amid the profit-chopper trading activity.

So many ,,,things to do...not enough...you know what...

RTP & IVN may be getting close to finalizing agreement with Mongolian Government to start mining operations... RTP seems to be hinting around that they will be the World's largest copper producer. RTP turned down $141 Billion Bid from BHP --> I think they know something good...


SHI & MCD --> have agreements in place to open mcDonalds eateries at any of SHI's 30K+ Chinese gas stations...SHI is off its high & could be a good long play here

FSLR, SPWR, CSIQ, WFR, ESLR JASO, LDK, --> Solar plays,,,please come down to earth DSTI is spec special here...

PBR LUKOY RDS.A COP - some fern earl cumpknees - they will go well

BOOM ACH AMSC AVAV FCEL --> Crazy Growth Stories here - very risky spec here

From Russia with Love...

Lukoil - Sounds like something you getinto or something ...

it's not -->

It's a HUGE Big Earl Cumpny...

A Rusky one at that...

Russia has plenty of oil and related economies...who better to pick up where they left off in Iraq than these heavily prepared Russian "Oilstranaughts"...

Apparently, Lukoil has numerous major ongoing projects in IRAQ which range the entire gamut of activities in the fields of geological assessments, industry planning, field exploration, full scale production, all levels distribution, and complete oil services delivery. These current and future projects may be worth some possible extra billions and Lukoil is well positioned to remain a key player in IRAQ for quite some time. The key is that they are the fastest route to fruition for extracting Oil from Iraq - they already had deals with Sodom Insane, Iraq's former dicktator, and everything required for a brand new oil economy infrastructure just happens to be conveniently nearby ~ where those commis put it.!..Oil & Gas Universities to train Iraqi Industry professionals....equipment and distribution together with complete industry service delivery can be met easily as a simple extension of territory for Lukoil...Welcome to the Big League Luky Lukester...

this truly is a decade long moment to rrememb... ... brings tears to the eyes... err

LUKOY

Tremedous Temptations...

Once Upon A Time...

There was a trust whose product was Black Gold,

and in the land a tax man ruled 'til their Gold was sure to fold...

So, the value of their gold all told has traditionally been that of what's been sold...

But now with this tax man lining his eyes with gold scrapings of the pie, a new value structure may emerge based on what reserves have been discovered yet still lie in the ground cold...oceans of "Black Sky"

I am guessing here - but with a %14 dividend, very low risk growth potential at this price level, and regular monthly dividend payout schedule - I would have to call Canada's Provident Energy Trust a Buy now that it is trading around $10..

PVX (not to confuse ..hehe.. the opposite of this stock is DSTI and may be a HUGE WINNER in the Phenomenal Growth Department)

Thinking of buying? Consider:
1. consider buying half your shares at first and the other half after you lose some
2. use a broker that offers dividend reinvestment free for any stock - Etrade etc...
3. Blame Canada when you lose money...!

PVX LM ~=~ 10.51

TankerMinder...

FRO --> best Play to benefit from short term tripling of VeryLargeCrudeCarrier spot market rates since most of their fleet operates on the spot market and not on longer term charter contracts. FRO is a great PurePlay on VLCC's ... & the LongHaul OIL transport market...top line...

FRO usually does a lot of sinking and swimming so if you are thinking of floating some dough...wait for the FROat to sink first so you can float your dough up with the ship...easier said than done - the opposite of course is sinking your dough into FROat and watching it sink with the ship - HINT: FRO always --> drops like a rock from time to time --> :-) usually following the X-Dividend date = the day the stock price is discounted it's dividend payout --> with FRO there tends to be a 2-3x dividend amount sell-off effect following each div X date.

SFL TNP --> WoW diversified high margin fluids is the name of the game here --> if IT's nasty-thick slick-n-slimy and lubes-n-burns, but could still bubble in a tub, these players have a specialized tanker just for IT...

GMR --> Fleet is all AfraMax & SuezMAx tankers - slight smoothing in short term stability seems trending toward a breakout with uncertain PopUp potential

VLCCF --> mostly longer term contracts on it's VLCC vessels - expect steady variability with moderate fluctuation

NAT --> Fleet is all SuezMAx tankers --> therefore will not see spot rates as high as those for VLCC's, but many vessels are on the spot market...

Note: many long term charters have spot rate factors built in so even charter rates can be variable....

Rates are high now...

Americans Money & Oil...

The cycle continues...
So all the construction related motoring around is stalling as well as the seemingly never ending supply of home equity cash -> most recently used to fuel more construction related motoring, to purchase various things all over the place, and to buy and fuel SUV's to drive around in gathering all the scattered things.

It's a good thing a HUGE portion of all this "MotorNesting" expense was for the fuel to power all that construction related motoring and the SUV errands....

Why -> so it can be borrowed back from Abu Dhabi now...when it's once again needed -> to fund all the "Movers Motoring" and people driving around for extra work

This is not even considering the ginormic increase in demand for fuel to propel all the vehicles which secure and operate our world energy-web infrastructures and resources while supply-line risks "floatcuate" around the globe and resource scarcity expands amongst environments of ever increasing consumptive trends...

SO, what this "bOILS" down to is fundamentally exclusive of facts and goes something like this:
refiners and other customers put off orders for oil due to high prices and sustained on reserves while reducing oil processing capacities to "optinimum" levels of positive economic operation (this reduces wear on the materials involved while margins are low and allows for opportunity downtime maintenance, re-conditioning and formulating processes and blends...etc -- Oil Transportation is cyclical ), ship owners converted single hulled vessels to other specializations and sold them off thereby skewing analysts accuracy in their estimates of VLCC vessel supply --> over-estimating the supply of ships they have...Spot rates have now just about tripled in the last couple of days and oil is needed in ever more locations around the globe...and ever so much more often sooner than when while happening slightly quicker than the prior period's faster growth which dwarfed the zippiest expansion of interconnections ever seen when the first growing tanker fleet occurred ... The End

If this doesn't make sense - well --> it's late

FRO
SFL
GMR
TNP
VLCCF
NAT

FYI: For long hauls tankers are considered less vulnerable than pipelines in regards to terrorism, natural disaster, vandalism, sabotage, maintenance oversight incidents which could potentially result in delay-disruptions to oil delivery schedules.

General Moshe Dayan

Goat'sLeapFrog...

Google has stretched and contracted it's great market mightiness thus expanding the maximum technical range to 992/share...

Market forces would have to be positively strong to effect a move like this...

So you have to ask yourself...

Do You Feel Lucky...

...Do Ya...

More Awareness of Nothing...

is to realize from knowing something...

I am not convinced that anything is as it seems unless the propensity for counting on it to seem like what it's not becomes desirable. This can work out sometimes and lead to times like this where the only thing left to do is...let the imagination run wild...

Let's envision a scenario where some of the smartest most well informed ambitious deciders derive how to steer the revelation of huge multi-billion dollar write-offs in terms of their long term objectives. These people always operate with contingencies in mind and escape routes all along the way, so I hope it's safe to say they have at minimum slightly overstated the estimated write downs. By simply "estimating up" this way, so to speak, they are building in the opportunity for good news later to help propel some recovery sentiment and gains.

&...For The Record...-->"I Know Nothing...!!!" --> :)

& while we're in the record --> "I Never Did..."

The Dollars Go In... The Dollars Go Out...

They don't eat the jelly with their snout...

They make stocks go up and down...

SO after 4 days of selling starting last WED --> a lot of money is now settled and ready for investment, but the stock universe from which it came is smaller than when the money goes back in - this may be offset however by funds be redirected to other types of investments like real estate bonds...etc:
WED sell $$ ---> Settles Mon
THUR sell $$ --> Settles Tue
FRI sell $$ ----> Settles Wed
MON sell $$ ---> settles Thur

**Warning - all numerical presentations and derivations such as those represented above and everywhere else in this blog's past and future posts are based in full or in part on "Non-Numerical Math Methods" (NNMM) and cannot be relied on for validity regardless of how reliable or accurate they may or may not seem **

So ... Pools of cash Poured Out from the entire stock universe but disproportionately from financial calamity "BusInterConnected" stocks and other disfavored "stocketypes"... now the money is settling and "HalloweenLuau" the money is coming back in...but it will go in disproportionately as "sectoration" occurs where some of the ones which lost less may gain more...hmm...market force focus is being achieved here through our perceptive tagging amongst chosen investment vehicles which are the current great attractors within the financial markets.

So --> now may be a time to focus on trimming the gloom-busted stocks while there is plenty of settlement buying pressure to drive liquidity and prices favorably for more-profitable selling, and once the settlement buying pressure runs out and the next decline begins...redirect the money back to the BOOMers of the bunch ~

Be glad we were gifted with 4 glorious days of selling instead of 1 HUGE one...this actually helps in terms of aggregation enhancing the "settlement effect" giving it more power in the positive direction... Good Luck... :)

Whop Pop Top Drop...

Google stretched to the 741.5 and overshot a little. Apple never quite made it to 203.3 but stopped short around 92.2ish, within 5% deviation from the 203.3 target. This all happened way to fast! GOOG and AAPL will now have new short term technical ranges exceeding their previously calculated maximums...of course, they must bottom to a shelf before we can guess what their new targets will be; then recession must be dodged, downside reversals must be averted by stocks and markets, and economic forces must circulate appropriate share volumes within a proportionately relative time span.

Before the rest of the growing stocks could barely get started in the direction of these tech giants and some solar warriors, the entire market sentiment became diametrically opposed to the power of positive thinking. All the major good news ran out so upcoming minor news must be preemptively elevated to a more important status by overwhelming the senses with extra doses of all the worst information possible. This will allow for more upside volatility later when something just better than bad news surfaces to be revealed.

So, here we go again...swinging low...
Swing High...
Up Up to the Sky...

Power Line Designs...

The Solar Ski Parka... "The Sparka"
--photovoltaic nanowires in the micro-tiered textile surfaces of the parka to collect sun energy
--Li polymer battery pellets distributed throughout the jacket on a nanowire-integrated mesh
--universal magnetic charging plates in special pockets to transfer stored charge to devices

Paradigm Shift Approaching --> Full Zeitgeist Ahead....~!

Try on a pair of your favorite stocks ...

Pick a Pair - out'a thin-air Pair
try a buy in pairs, you may find it fair...or not so if you dare...
SPWR_FSLR
FCEL_AMSC
CAT_TEX
UTX_FJTSY
WAG_CVS
BAC_WFB
GE_SI
AAPL_MSFT
GOOG_YHOO
T_VZ
XOM_CVX
RDS.A_COP
PBR_LUKOY
PGH_PVX
BTE_PWE
FRO_GMR
VLCCF_NAT
TNP_SFL
BHP_FCX
IVN_LMC
LLNW_NVDA
CSUN_CSIQ
WFR_ESLR
CTDC_
TCK_ACH
ALSK_VM
FXPE_PSEG

Complete every pair here & then get FROsurely square ... Caution --> Avoid Common Snares

Global Market Basket Weaving 101...

Pair em up agenst n'other pair
msft_yhoo
vs.
apple_goog*

T_BAC*
vs.
VZ_WFB

XOM_CAT*
vs
CVX_TEX

UTX_GE*
vs.
FJTSY_SI

*indicates my picks
Pick a Pair from every pair a'pairs
or buy all the pairzapairs

What's Not to Love...

Watching Three Great Ways to Play Lovely Brazil
PBR
CPL
RIO

Big Breakout Plays...
AVAV
AMSC
FCEL
BOOM



All I can Say for The Fiannce Side-of-Life for now is:
WoW - Look at Goldman Sachs --> a V of micro-waves -->
--a strange pattern that has been recurring lately-- Exxon Mobil -- BHP had one and then blammed up for a wammie run -- fcx did the same -- etc etc
I still think BAC WFC are as solid as mom dad apple pie and the US Marines

PrePostering PropondeRustles to Telecoms...Risk vs Reward

Risk: dividends are looking good at these levels ~one @ 7%
(if the dividends are not sustainable in current credit conditions then yields may fall - Call me crazy - I am Not bottom fishing these tasty financial plays...mmmmm....:))
FNF
DBD
C
WB

Reward:
RIG ~ 134.65 ~ 147.17 ~ 159.17 ~ 171.69 ~ 190.17 ~|
116.28 ~InterestingPricePoint~ 112.74
Likely major supports: 111.86 ~ 103.73

Hot Telecoms:
ALSK
VM

Buy Buy Buy ...

The market has "Buy It Now Fever" and I think some smokin good deals abound:

New Buy Alerts: (I'm still eager on previously mentioned stocks - all of which are still base-rated @ "try to Get Some"

The following are raised to "Trade a Limb to Get In" ~ small bite ~ save room for later...
CAT
TEX
UTX
FRO

The following are raised to "Trade some Skin to Get In"
ESLR
WFR
KONG
CSUN
AVAV
AMSC
FCEL
NVDA


The following are raised to "It's definitely a Sin if Your NOT Already In"
AAPL
GOOG
EMC
PBR
BOOM
ACH

Reminder for Me..

To call all my listeners and read this Alert...!!!

UTX - United Technologies is on sale

The 63.25-69.45 channel run was completed at 81.85 and antiHype serum was issued by the CEO to avoid any possible Hypie Types from causing a 5% overrun...

76.04 seems a good buy price and the next run following a breakout beyond 81.85 could go steady to 95.8

It is not often that you can count on laziness to make you money, but UTX is a special case. Once invested in this company the more you forget about it the better off you will be, so getting in at fire sale prices is a definite boon for most protfolios.
*************************************************************************************
The following fictional story is merited with having no accurate facts, depictions, or predictions!!!
*************************************************************************************
Here is a company who profits in peace and in war.. and whose comglomeration is admirate to us all. It's awfully suspicious in a twisted kind of way. UTX manufactures airplane engines which aid indirectly toward the destruction of infrastructure, and they manufacture core pieces of these same infrastructure components which have concentrated value ensuring high margins while keeping potential competition from undergoing significant relative economic pressure changes. In other words, they make consumable high margin components for warplanes - mainly engines. The planes blow up infrastructures including elevators and air handling systems. Guess what, elevators and massive air handling systems are UTX's specialty and not many newcommers can play catch up to them without being technologically interdependent to conglomerate enormity or get Gobbled by these giants in the industry - so built in insulation against severe changes in competition due to economies of scale and concentrations of value!!!

Even though a lot of bombing could be about to take place in IRAN - UTX remains a buy buy buy - of course they always report their earnings are from China - but we all know better than that.

It's no longer Blame Canada - it's Blame China by the way...

IRAN is a Uraniundrum ... they have to be stopped from completing construction of their nuclear land theme parks either by convincing them to stop or by force. Well the problem is that force cannot be done as it was last time when Israel just slipped in and popped a couple of reactors and split. Nope, that won't work this time - too many air defenses and first strike capabilities have been purchased, developed and deployed to maximum effective operation. If IRAN issilly enough not to take the cooperative and diplomatic path there will be plenty of peripheral bombing all over IRAN to effect the elimination of all the nuclear plants together with the businesses associated with their proliferation. There is also the opportunity at that point to take out as many defense, first strike, training, and logistical facilities as well as major transportation infrastructures and mechanisms of interaction among these entities.

If there is no bombing we will still sell them plenty of air conditioners and elevators once the cooperation part begins and we can finally do business with IRAN for the first time in since ohMy ...Before...High School...
**********************************************************************************
The above fictional story is merited with having no accurate facts, depictions, or predictions!!!
**********************************************************************************
It's real events that do unfold along the principle structures of the story above, however likely among completely different entities but where UTX goes up up and away like a Bee E A Utiful SwanMoon ---!!! THIS IS A LONG RUN STOCK !!!---

The H5 Factor...

Stocks like Apple Google BOOM ..uh.. Rang home this Month with stellar earnings...

These kind of Hypie Types seem to overshoot estimated stock price targets set by analysts and.... contranalysts like me...

I'm conjuring to Guess... by about 5%

So as an example applied to my estimated guess target of 203.3 for AAPL all the way up to aswipewhopping 213.465 --> The new and unproven price target for the Big Apple

(next thing you know New York City Will Sue Apple for getting too Big!)

BOOM Out...

*************************************************************************************
Excert from Wikipedia.org
"The musical content of Freak Out! ranges from rhythm and blues, doo-wop and standard blues-influenced rock to orchestral arrangements and avant-garde sound collages. Although the album was initially poorly received in the United States, it was a success in Europe. It gained a cult following in America, where it continued to sell in substantial quantities until it was prematurely discontinued in the early 1970s."
Excert from Wikipedia.org
*************************************************************************************

*************************************************************************************
Excert from tWistipedia.ionflare
"The explosive output of BOOM Out! ranges from channels and bowls, break-outs and standard fear-influenced waves to orchestral arrangements and avant-garde volume collages. Although the stock was initially poorly received in the Market, it was a success in Potfolios. It gained a cult following in CrAmerica, where it continues to sell in substantial quantities until it will be perpetually exploded into the early 10,0000s."
Excert from tWistipedia.ionflare
*************************************************************************************

ionflare's JimAbraKaBOOMya Pick of the week is:
AMSC - American Superconductor :)

Near Term Price Target Raised for Apple...

I am raising my price guess for apple from 203 to 203.3

FRO is a Major BUY right now...

Up in a Tree...

GOOG Gets Gobbled....

Up By Shareholders...

I think GoogleShip may be a good thing even at these lofty levels... It appears that many believe Google seems fundamentally capable of expanding to it's likely near term experimentally-derived maximum technical range of ~ 741.35...

Hmm

Resistance On the Rise...scribblelbbircs...Growth Stimulas Required!......Stimuli Not Included...

Results Below are Experimental Technical-Only Guesses - BEWARE - The information is intended for general technical reference purposes only and should NOT be relied on when making trading decisions. The numbers are intended to approximate target levels where more than average resistance will be encountered if share prices are driven up by economic forces.
***Guestimated price targets for downside support characterization have purposefully been omitted here there and sometimes elsewhere thus far.
ATI ~ 126
AAERF*
AAPL ~ 203
AAV ~ 14.82 ~ 19.44
ACH ~ 163.85 ~|
AMSC ~ 24.76 ~ 34.84 ~ 44.96 ~|
AVAV ~ 30.99 ~ 33.48 ~ 38.19 ~|
BOOM ~ 65.89
BCKBF*
BTE ~ 20.98 ~ 22.4 ~ 25.54 ~ 31.45 ~|
CAT ~ 94.81 ~ 107.41 ~ 130.93 ~|
CNE ~ 16.65 ~ 22.79 ~ 24.09 ~ 26.13 ~|
COP ~ 101.2 ~ 118.95 ~ |
CPL ~ 128.79 ~|
CSIQ ~ 13.41 ~ 18.93 ~ 26.25 ~ 33.93 ~|
CSUN ~ 13.42 ~ 19.9 ~ 24.64 ~ 29.68 ~|~ 32.47 ~ 39.73 ~||
CTDC ~ 15.23 ~ 16.21 ~ 21.64 ~13.81 ~ 11.56 ~ 9.96 ~ ... ~ 31.84 ~ 34.66 ~|
CVX ~ 102.29 ~ 121.46 ~|
DOCKF*
EMC ~ 27.22 ~|
ETLY*
FCEL ~ 15.55 ~ 37.06 ~ 60.54 ~ 195.3 ~|
FRO ~ 52.53 ~ 56.46 ~ 61.23 ~ 66.63 ~ 70.98 ~74.49 ~ 79.26 ~|
FXPE* ~ 3.88 ~ 5.4 ~ 6.88 ~|
GMR ~ 33.34~ 42.16 ~ 46.69 ~ 49.69 ~ 55.9 ~|
GOOG ~ 741.35 ~|
HYGS* ~ 1.78 ~ 2.34 ~ 3.22 ~|
IVAN* ~ 3.61 ~ 4.01 ~ 5.69 ~|
IVN ~ 38.95 ~|
LLNW ~ 71.48 ~|
LMC ~ 29.08 ~|
MCEL*
NVDA ~ 45.84 ~
PBR ~ 131.25 ~|
PFCE*
PVX ~ 17.01 ~|
RDS.A ~ 95.25 ~ 113.94 ~|
SATC*
SFL ~ {(28.08~28.6~29.42) ~ (29.85~32.05~35.09~37.33) ~ (32.08~34) ~ (29.84~32.76~34.84~38.56~41.48~^42.32^~43.12~46.72~48.8~50.76~52.96)} ~|
TCK ~ 74.48 ~|
TEX ~ 177.85 ~|
TIE ~ 73.76 ~|
TNP ~ 109.13 ~|
VLCCF ~ 29.76 ~ 32.91 ~ 38.82 ~ 43.65 ~ 50.88 ~|
XOM ~ 132.32 ~|
XTO ~ 97.56 ~|
*Is designating an ultra risky speculation pick

I bin Schoolt Bology Onced or Twice..~.Woo Pig!!!

But I never thought I'd see the day a StockaFont could FLY...
GTF - inquired about by an unnamed listener of this bit bucket rag on Sept 25th Has Been Seen Flying Lately - look out at dawn and dusk - that's when it's coat gives off the prettiest sheen.

Anyway - congratulations GTF (Originally posted Here on Tuesday, September 25, 2007 when it was unfortunately too late to say) http://noonesapproval.blogspot.com/2007/09/get-your-ship-on.html *!!* Note: I am out HTE = cut from the list found at this link *!!*

I had to cover a biotec Cause Ol Jimmy said I had to be deevursesfried

PopCorn & The WhipSaw Channel...

So the Credit Crunch Shook the Market Like it was a RUG ... !!!

The second major market settling-wave went higher indicating the formation of an upward trending channel.

Looking for higher lows on pullbacks .. the settling waves should get smaller unless the forces driving the oscillation in the wave continue to exert forces on the broad market, however I expect these types of forces to be focussed on certain issues which will be popping up and down from the market's main wave trends in the new channel like splashes and currents popping and drawing above and beneath waves in the sea.

My popCorn Picks: (Note MY Cranium FAILED Against Uranium - I am All Out USU)
CSUN - HIGHLY RISKY - STAY AWAY - So , I Bought It...
FCEL - You Gotta HoldEm if You Want to ShowEm - when the dealins done...
AVAV - Very Defensive - "The Sky's The Limit" with This COmpany - Literally
AMSC - Best ways to Save electricity is thru conservation and by improving efficiencies. American Superconductor is engaged in improving efficiencies in a paradigm shifting manner. New generations of systems based on AMSC's latest commercial component technologies has yet to reach the large scale production levels associated with what I am guessing will be the inevitable upcoming deployment schedules for systems dependant on these component technology classes. Once deployment status is "arrive today" either via maintenance or new product development channels the choice will be obvious where to get AMSC's class of component technology products - and that will be from AMSC...! It's hard to argue against things like smaller lighter more powerful motors when your talking about designing a new ship or even overhauling an old one. And this is one of many many ways in which AMSC's superconducting technologies will help move us into a more energy conserving society. At this point it seems they are poised to achieve some great results for all their efforts.
Oh yeah - and:
BOOM - Very Strong - Very real
LLNW - Very Iffy - Very Maybe
CTDC - I little piece of a very large thing - China's State Owned Endeavors

A is for...

AAPL ULB~@ ~200.9~
I don't wan tot look down...
I'm starting to think Apple will do a 3:1 split ... 2 reasons
How about to go before Google decides to do it - if ever
Everyone would love it, more people will buy-in strengthening share solidarity and the customer base at the grass roots level, and Apple loves to do what people love

Maybe apple will show us the love and split 3:1 so that shareholders who have a small lots will feel like Giants among Kings with a whopping 3x the shares of no less than APPLE stock. Let's face it, having 150 shares of apple stock would feel pretty good to all the 50 share people out there..

The Day After Today...

Tomorrow's Reading..
Frontline announced a special dividend from their share sale of DOCKF today as many expected ... Dockwise issued more shares and began trading on the OSLO which should increase the flow of shares considerably. Now, with more room for momentum to build resulting from the increased number of shares available together with greater capital forces due to better market exposure on the OSLO, the wheels are set for motion. I expect likely upside here. I don't have the feeling early investors in this one are playing with scaredyDoe. First of all it traded a few times in odd-K lots here and there once it was first in the mass media in connection with Frontline Tanker's press releases regarding their involvement. Early interests in this ExtrEmely thinly traded stock were probably not predominantly short term.
DOCKF - http://www.dockwise.com/
Is DoCkWiSe still a winner without Frontline? I certainly wish I knew...it could be a rough voyage for a while as volatility shakes this up a bit on the OSLO ... let's see.
DOCKF - http://www.yacht-transport.com/